2003 – 2004  NBA Top Notch Picks

Our NBA Top Notch picks season record for the 03'- 04' season was

121-106-5, but could easily be 131-96-5 as we had lost 10 games by a

 combined 11.5 points.

Our method produced a good 75-62-4 record ATS in the 2002-2003 NBA season as we finished the year up +5.5 units.

NBA Top Notch Picks finished the season 90-71 over the last 161 picks

Our NBA Top Notch Picks finished the season with a winning 3-1-1 in the Finals!

Monday, May 31, 2004:

Minnesota/L.A. Lakers Under 182:  These teams show up in a must win for Minnesota and nearly a must win for the Lakers.  The last meeting between these two went over and in the NBA this post season, when teams are playing in a game with an 8->9.5 point spread after an over, team have gone under in 9 of the next 11 games.  The Lakers are 8->9.5 point favorites after losing + going over on the road, and in the that situation the Lakers have gone under in 7 straight games.  For the Timberwolves, the under is 7-1 in the post season when they play after an over, 14-1 in their last 15 games in conference on the road with an 8->9.5 point spread after going over.  Since last season, Minnesota has gone under in all 6 games playing as 8->9.5 point road dogs after going over.  The Timberwolves will have a harder time scoring points in L.A. as the Lakers will be better defensively.  Loss:  This goes over by just 4 points as the close losses kill us.

Sunday, May 30, 2004:

Detroit/Indiana Over 160:  The Pistons travel to Indiana to try to even the series and should bring the offensive intensity at a high level.  There are many trend that support this game going over the total.  For Indiana, the over is 12-1 in their last 13 at home in post season play after winning SU + ATS, 7-1 in their last 8 playoff games at home after winning on the road, and 9-0 this season in games with a 2->3.5 point spread after winning ATS.  Teams in the NBA have gone over in all 7 games the past 2 post seasons at home with a 2->3.5 point spread after winning ATS + going under.  Detroit has gone over in both of their playoff games playing after losing ATS + going under in their previous game.  In the NBA this season, teams playing as 2->3.5 point road dogs after losing ATS + going under at home have gone over in 12 of their next 15 games (Detroit's situation tonight).  Loss:  Indiana struggles with scoring as they shoot poorly.

Saturday, May 29, 2004:

L.A. Lakers/Minnesota Over 181.5:  The Lakers will look to close out this series and the trends show that this game is due to be a high scoring game. The Timberwolves struggle defensively without Cassell healthy.  Minnesota has gone over in all 7 games in franchise history in post season games at home after a loss.  The Timberwolves have also gone over in 6 straight games as dogs in the post season after an under.  Minnesota has also gone over in 6 straight games at home with a 2->3.5 point spread after winning ATS + going under.  The Lakers have gone over in 8 of their last 9 as road favorites after winning + losing ATS.  In the NBA this post season, teams playing on the road after winning + losing ATS have gone over in 7 of the 8 games. (Laker's situation tonight).  Minnesota will look to keep a high energized pace and the flow should be that of a high scoring game.  Win:  This one cruises past the over mark in the late stages of the game.

Friday, May 28, 2004:

Game of the Week   Detroit (-4) over Indiana:  The Pistons know how important this game is as they will try to keep home court advantage with a win.  The Pistons have gone 12-1-1 in their last 14 division games with a 4->5.5 point spread after winning ATS at home.  In the past two post seasons, the Pistons are 7-0 ATS at home after 2 wins ATS and 8-1-1 ATS at home after a win ATS.  Detroit is also 9-1 ATS as 4->5.5 point favorites this season after a win ATS (4-0 in post season).  Detroit has won 5 in a row ATS and teams in the NBA this season playing in that situation at home against a division opponent have gone 10-1 ATS.  Indiana has not lived up to their hype in the last 8 games as they are 0-7-1 ATS and have dropped 4 straight ATS to Detroit.  We think the Pistons will get it done tonight.  Loss:  Indiana shows up and the Pistons show nothing.

Thursday, May 27, 2004:

L.A. Lakers (-7.5) over Minnesota:  The Lakers have been dominate at home throughout the playoffs and are now 6-0 ATS in their last 6 games at home, including the game 3 win.  Shaq was dominate the last game and we will see much of the same tonight.  Cassell's injury has made him ineffective on defense and Minnesota needs him healthy to compete with the Lakers.  The Lakers have gone 12-3 ATS since 1996 in playoff games as home favorites after a win ATS at home.  L.A. is also a hot 6-1 ATS in their last 7 overall, while Minnesota has struggled to go 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games.  The Timberwolves have gone just 2-8-1 ATS in their last 11 games on the road with a 6->7.5 point spread after playing their previous game on the road.  Even if Kobe is late for the start of this one, he should have a good game regardless as well as Shaq.  Loss:  Garnett hits a garbage 3 as time winds down and Lakers stand around to cause a .5 point loss ATS.

Wednesday, May 26, 2004:

Detroit/Indiana Under 161:  The Pistons defense has been incredible in the playoffs and we don't see the under trend stopping in this game as the last 6 meetings between these two teams have gone under the total.  The last meeting in Detroit back in April was a game with a total of 140 points scored.  The Pacers are playing as dogs in a division game after 3 losses ATS + unders and teams in that position the last two years have gone under in 7 of 8 the next game.  Detroit has gone under in all 7 games after winning ATS + under in 3 games this season and in all 7 games in division after 2 wins ATS + under the past 2 seasons.  The Piston have also gone under in 9 of their last 10 playoff games after 2 road games and the under was 8-1-1 the past 2 seasons at home after winning SU + ATS + going under on the the road.  Loss:  Another close loss by 2 points as these teams combine for a ridiculous 62 points in the 4th quarter.

Tuesday, May 25, 2004:

Minnesota/L.A. Lakers Under 180.5:  The Lakers return home as 8->9.5 point favorites against the heavy underdog Timberwolves.  In this situation, the under has been very profitable for both teams.  The Lakers have gone under in 9 straight games as home favorites of 8->9.5 after a loss the past 2 seasons.  The under is also 6-0 when the Lakers are home favorites after a loss this season and 10-0 in a game with an 8->9.5 point spread after playing on the road.  Minnesota has gone under in all 4 games since the 2001 playoffs as 8->9.5 point dogs and in all 8 in conference games with an 8->9.5 point spread after a home game since last season.  The Lakers seem to get it done on defense in spots like this and we like the odd of this falling shy of the total.  Loss:  Lack of defense in the second half as the first half was low scoring.

Monday, May 24, 2004:  Monday Madness Now 21-15

Indiana (-4) over Detroit:  Rasheed Wallace guaranteed a victory in game 2 of this series, but we don't think that will take place in Indiana.  The Pacers have gone 8-1-1 ATS in their last 10 at home after losing ATS at home and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after 3 wins.  In the post season this year, teams are 8-2 as 4->5.5 point home favorites after an under and 14-2 at home after 3 wins (Indiana's position tonight).  The Pistons have gone 0-7-1 in their last 8 games as 4->5.5 point dogs after winning ATS on the road.  In the NBA over the past month, teams are 1-10 ATS in 4->5.5 road games after an under.  The Pistons are 2-11 ATS in their last 13 as road dogs after 3 wins ATS and in the NBA over the past 2 post seasons, teams are 1-10-1 ATS as road dogs after 3 straight wins ATS.  We like the Pacers to win big tonight.  Loss:  Ron Artest is stiffled as well as the rest of the Pacers.

Sunday, May 23, 2004:

L.A. Lakers/Minnesota  Over 182.5:  Game 2 of this series takes place in Minnesota of where these teams have gone over the total the last 4 playoff meetings between these teams here.  The Timberwolves have gone over in 7 straight post season games with a 2->3.5 point spread and the over is 8-2 in their last 10 post season games at home after a loss ATS.  In the past two NBA post seasons, the over is 9-2 for teams playing as 2->3.5 point dogs after a loss (Minnesota's situation).  The Lakers have gone over in 7 straight meetings with Minnesota after 3 straight wins SU + ATS.  For the Lakers, the over is 9-1 in their last 10 as favorites in conference games after 5 wins SU + ATS, 6-0 in their last 6 as 2->3.5 point favorites after winning on the road, and 10-1 in their last 11 as road favorites in conference games after winning + going over.  In the NBA this post season, teams have gone over in 7 of the 8 games playing as road favorites after 3 straight wins.  Loss:  The Lakers stink up the joint and bring no offense.

Saturday, May 22, 2004:

Detroit/Indiana Over 162.5:  These two teams are know for their defensive prowess and we feel this is overcompensated for in the first line of the series.  The Pacers are a team that usually controls the pace when they have the home court advantage.  Indiana has over in all 8 games in the post season as favorites after a win + under and over in all 7 as home favorites after a win on the road in the post season (dating back to 96').  The Pacers have gone over in 4 of the 5 games as home favorites this post season and have gone over in 10 out of 12 games this season in games after winning + going under on the road.  In last year's Eastern conference finals, the Pistons went over the total in both of the games they played on the road.  We like this to be high scoring early, give the total a boost over the 162.5 mark.  Loss:  This one starts strong, but tails off in the end with poor shooting.

Friday, May 21, 2004:

L.A. Lakers/Minnesota Over 182.5:  The Lakers come into town as favorites after a defensive series against the Spurs.  The Timberwolves will be playing a team with a better offense than the Kings were showing in their previous series.  For Minnesota, the over is 7-2 in their last 9 at home is the playoffs after losing ATS and 13-2 since 1996 as dogs in conference games after losing ATS + going under at home.  Minnesota has also gone over the total in all 6 games the past 2 seasons at home when the spread is 2->3.5 after winning and going under.  The Lakers have gone over in 6 straight game against Minnesota after 3 straight wins ATS and in 6 straight against Minnesota after 2 wins in a row SU + ATS.  The Lakers have also gone over in 9 of their last 11 playoff games as favorites after winning ATS at home.  This one should top the total tonight as this total is the lowest set this season for these two teams.  Win:  This Lakers just miss 100 points as this one soars to 185.

Thursday, May 20, 2004:

Detroit (-5) over New Jersey:  The Pistons come into tonight's game hungry for a big win and should do it with a big lineup tonight.  The Pistons should go big in their lineup as they did in game 6 and take home the cash in this matchup.  Detroit has gone 7-1 ATS as 4->5.5 point favorites this season after a win ATS, 9-1-1 ATS this season at home after winning SU + ATS on the road, and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 post season games with a 4->5.5 point spread after an under.  Detroit has faired well against the Nets after a win going 7-1-1 ATS in their last 9 contests after a win.  The Nets have gone just 1-3-1 ATS on the road this post season and in the playoffs teams are 1-8 ATS as dogs after losing SU + ATS at home.  We like the Pistons big tonight.  Win:  Pistons destroy the Nets by 21 points as they cruise throughout to the big win.

Wednesday, May 19, 2004:

8:30 pm est   Minnesota (-5) over Sacramento:  The Kings come into tonight's game in Minnesota with a short bench after a long series.  The Kings are at their worst on the road in this situation and have faired poorly ATS in this situation as well.  The Kings have lost 7 in a row ATS in conference games after winning ATS at home and 6 in a row ATS in 4->5.5 point games this season after winning ATS at home.  During the past 2 seasons, the Kings are 0-7-1 ATS in 4->5.5 point games after winning + going over.  Minnesota is in a spot it has never been in before playing at home in a game 7 and they are coming in with a stronger bench and bigger hunger.  The Timberwolves have gone 7-1-1 ATS as 4->5.5 home favorites in conference play the past 2 seasons and have won 9 in a row ATS as 4->5.5 point home favorites in conference games after a road game.  The home court advantage will play a roll in this contest tonight.  Loss:  Yet another close loss for us as the Timberwolves win by 3 and miss covering by 2.

Tuesday, May 18, 2004:

Indiana/Miami Over 176.5:  The Pacers come into Miami knowing they need to bring the offensive intensity to the Heat to win this series tonight.  The Over has done very well in this situation in the past.  For the Pacers, the over is 12-4 in their last 16 on the road, 9-2 in their last 11 as favorites, 11-3 in their last 14 overall, and 13-4 as road favorites after an over this season.  The over has done well in the playoffs for the Pacers as well as the over is 11-3-1 over the past 2 post seasons and 10-2 in their last 12 post season games as favorites after a win.  Miami has gone over in their last 7 games against Indiana at home after an over.  The over has gone 6-2-1 in the Heat's last 9 games.  Look for Miami to bring the offensive intensity tonight and look for Wade and Odom to have much better games than they did in game 5.  Loss:  A dismal first half lands this one under the total.

Sunday, May 16, 2004:

New Jersey (-3) over Detroit:  The Nets come home after taking a long game in Detroit and we think they will be more than ready to close this series out tonight.  The Nets have won 3 straight meetings ATS and are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 at home.  In the NBA this post season, teams are 8-1 ATS at home after 2 wins SU + ATS and 14-1 ATS as home favorites after 3 straight wins.  The Pistons have gone 0-8-1 ATS in their last 9 road playoff games after an over and are 0-8 ATS in their last 8 playoff games with a 2->3.5 point spread after a loss.  In the NBA since 1996, teams are 1-10 ATS as road dogs after 2 losses ATS + going over in those games (the Pistons situation tonight).  Detroit has gone 0-7 ATS the past two season against the Nets after a loss and we suspect that trend will continue tonight.  Loss:  Net's hang close but can't capture the win.

Saturday, May 15, 2004:

Game of the Week  San Antonio/L.A. Lakers Over 177:  Tonight the Lakers go for the playoff series win as home favorites against the Spurs and history show that this one should go over the total.  The last 4 contests between these two teams in L.A. have gone over and the over is 7-1 when L.A. is a home favorite against the Spurs the past 2 seasons.  In this series, 3 of the 5 contests have gone over and the Lakers have gone over in 8 of their last 9 against the Spurs after playing on the road.  The Lakers have gone over in 5 straight games in the playoffs after 3 straight wins and have gone over in 6 straight games as 4->5.5  point favorites after 3 straight wins SU + ATS in conference.  The Lakers have gone over in 9 of the 10 games the past 2 seasons as 4->5.5 point favorites in conference games after winning S.U. and ATS.  The Spurs have gone over in 4 straight road games and know they need to score a lot of points to keep up with the Lakers tonight.  Loss:  A 30 point third quarter kills the chances of this one going over.

Friday, May 14, 2004:

New Jersey/Detroit Over 166:  These teams have been known much for their defensive prowess and it looks as if the odds makers are continuing to make low lines.  Tonight's game is one in a situations that we feel has a great chance to go over this total.  The Pistons come into tonight's game at home where they averaged 91.6 points a game this season.  Since they have only averaged 81.5 in their last 6, we like the chances of them being able to put up points at home in this key situation.  New Jersey is in a spot where they have gone over in this situation in recent history.  The over for the Nets is 7-0 in playoff games with a 6->7.5 point spread after 2 wins and 8-1 the past 2 seasons as road dogs after 2 wins ATS.  In Net's games this season when the point spread is 6->7.5, the over is 7-1 after an over and 7-1 after a win.  We like a higher scoring pace than usual between these two teams.  Win:  This game passes the total easily in regulation and then blows it away in overtime!

Thursday, May 13, 2004:

San Antonio/L.A. Lakers Under 180.5:  The Lakers set the pace at home in their two games at Staples, but playing as dogs has been very productive for the under in this situation tonight.  Since 1999, the Lakers have gone under in 6 straight post season games as road dogs after 2 home games.  The Lakers have also gone under in 14 straight games as dogs after winning ATS at home, 7 straight as 4->5.5 point dogs after a win, 7 straight this season as dogs after winning ATS, and in 12 straight the past 2 seasons as dogs after a home game.  The Spurs have had a knack for going under in the situation of favorites after 2 road games as they have gone under in 7 straight playing in that situation in the post season.  We like this one to go under the total in this big match-up.  Win:  Total of this one goes under by a whopping 33.5 points as both teams score in the 70s!

Wednesday, May 12, 2004:

Minnesota/Sacramento Under 194:  These teams have a high offensive prowess, but are underrated for their defensive play.  Sacramento has their backs to the wall at home and that is when they usually go under in the next game.  The Kings have gone under in 10 straight games as home favorites after losing and going over in their previous game at home.  In addition the under for the Kings has gone 7-0 after a loss at home this season and 6-0 at home this season after losing ATS and going over.  Minnesota has gone under in 7 straight games in this situation as being the dog in a conference game after winning and going over on the road.  These teams had a very high scoring affair in game 3 of this series in overtime, but trends show this contest should fall under this high total.  Win:  This one soars under the total by 26 points as Minnesota is held to just 81 points.

Tuesday, May 11, 2004:

San Antonio (+5) over L.A. Lakers:  The Lakers were dominant in game 3 of this series, but tonight we think it will be a different story.  The Spurs have gone 6-0 ATS since 1997 in the playoffs in 4->5.5 point games after losing ATS and going over.  In the past 2 postseasons, the Spurs are 6-0 ATS on the road after a loss ATS.  The Spurs are also 14-2 ATS in their last 16 games in conference after a road game and are 11-0 ATS as road dogs in conference games after a road game the past 2 seasons.  The Lakers have gone just 1-9 ATS in their last 10 games as home favorites in conference games after an over.  Since 1997 in the NBA, teams are 9-23-1 ATS at home in a 4->5.5 point game after winning ATS at home in the playoffs.  We like the Spurs to keep it close tonight.  Loss:  Spurs hold a lead early, but let it slip away and lose by eight points.

Monday, May 10, 2004:  Monday Madness Now 21-14

Indiana (-3) over Miami:  The Pacers were one of the best road teams in the NBA this season and had the best overall record in the league.  They have carried that over into the playoffs as they have won each game they have played by double digits.  The Pacers have gone 6-0 ATS since 1997 as favorites against Miami after losing ATS and are 7-1-1 ATS as favorites this season after losing ATS + going under at home.  Indiana is also 10-0 ATS in 4->5.5 point conference games after 2 wins this season (line started at 4).  Miami has gone 0-7-1 ATS in the playoffs since 1997 after winning ATS + going under.  In that same time span in the NBA, teams have gone 0-7 ATS in the playoffs as home dogs after losing + winning ATS + going under.  This season in the NBA, teams are 0-9 ATS as 4->5.5 point dogs in conference games after losing + winning ATS + going under on the road.  The Heat are solid on their home court, but the Pacers are a much better team on the road.  Loss:  Pacers can't catch up to Heat's momentum in the end.

Sunday, May 9, 2004:

San Antonio/L.A. Lakers Over 179:  The Lakers return home in a must win game for them and scoring should be at a premium here in this one.  The Lakers have gone over in 7 straight against San Antonio as home favorites after an over and the over is 7-0-1 in Lakers games this season when the spread is 4->5.5 and they are playing a conference opponent after an over.  The Lakers offense should respond after 2 losses ATS as they have gone over in 7 of their last 9 games in conference as favorites after 2 losses ATS.  The Spurs have gone over in 7 straight games on the road in post season play after winning 3 straight games and have gone over in 8 of the 10 meetings with the Lakers after winning at least 4 in a row since 1997.  In that same time span the Spurs have gone over in 9 of 10 games on the road in post season play after 4 straight wins.  The Lakers will look to open up the game more and should get their offense going.  The Spurs have the ability to put points on the board too and we like the over in this one.  Win:  The Lakers go over 100 and send this one over the total by 7 points.

Saturday, May 8, 2004:

9:30 pm est  Sacramento (+6) over Minnesota:  The Kings come into tonight's game having won the first game of the series and are expecting to do the same in game 2.  Since 1997, the Kings have gone 6-0 ATS as 6->7.5 point dogs in the playoffs after winning SU + ATS.  In that same time span, teams in the NBA have gone 28-14-1 ATS as 6->7.5 point dogs after winning SU + ATS.  The Kings are also playing on the road after winning SU + ATS on the road and teams in the NBA playing in that situation over the past month have gone 6-0 ATS.  Minnesota has lost 4 in a row ATS and in the NBA over the past 2 seasons, teams playing as home favorites of 6->7.5 point after losing ATS and going over at home have gone 0-6 ATS (The Timberwolves' situation tonight).  With the Kings winning in the first game of this series, we expect them to keep it close tonight as they are spotted more points than in the first contest.  Win:  The Kings lose by 5 to cover as they had an 8 point lead with 4 minutes left.

Friday, May 7, 2004:

 Game of the Week   New Jersey/Detroit Under 164:  These teams played to miserable low in the first game of the series and we like the odds of this one going under the total tonight as well.  The Nets have gone under in 7 of 8 games since 1997 in the playoffs as road dogs after a loss.  In that same time span the under has gone 14-1 in Nets games when they are road dogs of 4->5.5 after losing on the road.  This season the Pistons have gone under in 7 straight after winning 2 games SU + ATS.  The Pistons have gone under in all 6 games played as home favorites of 4->5.5 after 3 straight wins, dating back to 1997.  During the past 2 seasons, the Pistons have gone under in 12 of 14 games as home favorites after winning SU + ATS + going under.  The last 4 meetings between these two have gone under and this should be a fifth.  Loss:  It looked good for the first 3 quarters.

Thursday, May 6, 2004:

Indiana (-11.5) over Miami:  The Pacers have been waiting in the wing for the Heat to finish their very brutal 7 game series with the Hornet.  In that series, the Hornets took advantage of Miami's front court play and expect a much better frontcourt for Indiana to take full advantage of a beat up Miami team.  Indiana has gone 6-0 ATS as favorites this season after 2 wins on the road (8-0 since last season) and are 14-4-1 ATS the past 2 seasons as home favorites after 2 wins SU + ATS.  In the playoff this season, NBA teams have gone 11-0 ATS at home after 3 straight wins.  Miami went 0-3 ATS on the road in New Orleans and are just 1-7-1 ATS against the Pacers in their last 9 meetings.  Playing a well rested and well coached Pacers team will be tough for the road weary Heat.       Win: Indiana manages a 13 point win after leading by as many as 23.

Wednesday, May 5, 2004:

L.A. Lakers/San Antonio Under 176.5:  The Spurs are one of the top defensive teams in the league and are playing at home where the under has been a winner on many occasions.  Since 1997, the Spurs have gone under in 7 straight games after 10 straight win and have gone under in 9 straight after 4 straight wins.  San Antonio has gone under in 6 straight games at home and the under is 7-0 this season for the Spurs in conference games as home favorites after winning at home.  Since 97', the under has gone 7-1-1 for the Spurs in the playoffs playing as home favorites of 4->5.5, with 3 of those under against the Lakers.  L.A. has gone under in 3 straight games and have gone under in 11 straight playing as dogs this season.  Since 1997 in conference games after 3 straight unders, the Lakers have gone under in all 8 games playing as dogs.  Loss:  This one totals 180 as Spurs have 33 point outbust in the 1st quarter.

Tuesday, May 4, 2004:

New Orleans (+5) over Miami:  The Heat have been dominant on their home court this season, but are a young team facing the pressure of a game 7 against a veteran Hornets team.  The Hornets have won convincingly in their 3 wins of this series, while 2 of Miami's wins were very close.  The Hornets are 5-1 ATS in this series and will be getting 5 points again.  The Hornets have played the Heat close on many occasions as they are 8-2 ATS in the last 10 meetings and are 9-1 ATS against Miami after winning 2 straight ATS since 1997.  This game will be physical and should be another close game down to the end.  In a match-up that is this close, we will take the points.  Loss:  Baron Davis goes down and the Hornets follow as this falls short of the spread by 3.

Monday, May 3, 2004:  Monday Madness Now 21-13

New Jersey/Detroit Under 172:  These are two of the best defensive teams in the league and with a huge rivalry going on, we expect a low scoring first game in this series as these teams will be feeling each other out for quite possibly a long series.  The Nets have gone under in all 10 games this season with a 4->5.5 point spread after 2 straight wins.  The Nets have also gone under in 9 of their last 11 games as road dogs of 4->5.5 after a road game.  The Pistons have gone under in 6 straight games as home favorites of 4->5.5 after 3 straight wins (dating back to 97').  For the Pistons, the under is also 7-1-1 the past 2 seasons as home favorites in conference games after winning SU + ATS + going under, 12-3 in their last 15 games after winning ATS  and going under at home, and 7-1 in their last 8 games with a 4->5.5 point spread after going under.  The last 3 meetings have gone under between these two and last years game 1 in Detroit between these two totaled just 150 points.  We expect a similar outcome tonight.  Win:  This one goes under by 38 points as New Jersey manages just 56 points!

Sunday, May 2, 2004:

L.A. Lakers/San Antonio Under 179:  The Lakers open this series in San Antonio as they did last season when the teams totaled for just 169 points.  The Lakers are road dogs where the under has gone 9-1 this season and 12-1 the past 2 seasons in their games as road dogs after a win.  For the Lakers, the under in 11-0 as dogs in conference games the past 2 seasons and 15-1-1 as dogs after winning ATS at home (since 1997).  The Spurs have perhaps the best defense in the league and that will be emphasized to start this series.  The Spurs have gone under in 11 of their last 12 at home after 5 wins and under in 10 of their last 11 as home favorites after a win.  For the Spurs, the under is 1-7-1 the last 9 games as 4->5.5 point favorites in the playoff.  Over the past month in the NBA, teams have gone under in all 6 games in 4->5.5 point conference games after a win and over (Spur's situation).  We'll go with the under in this game that should be highly contested.  Win:  This one goes under easily as the Lakers manage just 78 points.

Friday, April 30:

Game of the Week    New Orleans/Miami Under 170:  These teams have gone under in 10 of the last 11 meetings between these two and in 7 straight meetings in Miami.  These teams went over the total in their last meeting in New Orleans, but we think they will return to low scoring form tonight as the Hornets have managed an average of 81.8 points in their last 5 games and the Heat have given up an average of 79.8.  Over the past month in the NBA, team playing at home in a conference game with a 6->7.5 point spread after losing + going over have gone under in all 7 games (Miami's situation).  The Hornets have gone under in 7 straight games as dogs in conference and in 7 straight on the road in conference after an over.  Since 1997, the under has gone 12-1-2 in Hornets games on the road after 2 wins ATS on the road.  We like the prospects of this one getting under easy.   Push:  Total ends at 170 after foul shots at the end push the total higher.

Thursday, April 29:

Sacramento (-5.5) over Dallas:  The Mavericks are playing bad basketball in the postseason and the team is on the brink of dismantling more than a comeback from a 3-1 defecit.  The Kings are playoff tough and know how important it is to wrap up this series at home.  Sacramento has won 6 straight postseason games after winning + going under on the road.  In the NBA this month, teams as home favorite after 2 unders on the road have gone 6-0 ATS.  Teams playing in this postseason at home after going under on the road have gone 8-0 ATS.  Kings sit in this prime position tonight as well as teams in the NBA over the past 7 years have gone 8-1-1 ATS playing in the postseason as home favorites of 4->5.5 after 2 unders on the road.  Dallas is just 1-10-1 ATS on the road in conference games after a home game this season.  With the Mavericks being in the position of dogs after losing ATS at home, teams have gone 0-7 ATS this postseason and we think the trend will continue tonight.  Loss:  Kings win the game by just 1 after leading late in 4th by 7.

Tuesday, April 27:

Minnesota (-3) over Denver:  The Timberwolves are charged up after being embarrassed in game 3 by 31 points and should come out strong in Denver tonight.  Minnesota has gone 7-1 ATS in their last 8 as favorites and have won 8 in a row ATS as road favorites after a loss ATS.  The Timberwolves bounce back well after losses as they are 12-2 ATS in their last 14 conference games after a loss and 12-2 ATS over the past 2 seasons on the road in conference after losing SU + ATS on the road.  In the NBA this postseason, teams are 7-0 ATS as favorites after a loss and over the past month, teams are 9-1 ATS as road favorites after an over on the road (Minnesota is in these situations).  Denver has managed to go just 3-7 ATS against Minnesota in the last 10 meetings.  Look for Garnett to have a huge game as the Timberwolves should bounce back with a big win in Denver tonight.  Loss:  Minnesota wins by 2 as Spreewell misses 2 foul shots in final second that would have covered.

Monday, April 26: Monday Madness Now 20-13

Dallas (-6.5) over  Sacramento:  These teams are home court experts and the Mavs should continue their home court excellence tonight.  Dallas has gone 6-1-1 ATS in their last 8 home games and in the NBA this postseason, teams are 14-4 ATS as home favorites (9-1 after an under).  In conference games as home favorites this season, the Mavericks are 10-1 ATS in their last 10 after a win, 8-1 ATS after 2 wins ATS, and 10-1 ATS in their last 11 after a home game.  Since 1996, Dallas has gone 12-3-1 ATS as home favorites (6->7.5) after winning ATS at home.  The Kings have struggled on the road and are 1-7 ATS as road dogs after an under this season and 0-9 ATS since 1996 on the road in 6->7.5 point games after 2 losses ATS.  The Kings are 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on the road and in the NBA this postseason, teams are 0-7 ATS on the road after 2 unders. The Mavs know they can't afford to go down 3-1 in the series with Sacramento having a chance to win with 2 of the last 3 in Sac town.  We like the chances of Dallas playing strong tonight.  Loss: Kings upset the Mavs by 2 points.

Sunday, April 25:

Game of the Week   New Jersey (-4.5) over New York:  The Nets are in a position to close out a series in the playoffs and they know how to get it done as they are 6-0 S.U and ATS the past 2 seasons in Eastern Conference playoff close out games.  The Nets have gone 3-1 ATS in N.Y. this season with the loss coming without Kidd and Martin.  New Jersey is 8-1 ATS in their last 9 games as favorites in division games after 3 wins, 6-0 ATS this season as road favorites after an under, and 8-2-1 ATS this season as favorites ATS after a win.  Since 1997 in the NBA playoffs, teams are 7-0 ATS as road favorites after winning + losing ATS + going under (the Net's situation).  Teams playing as home dogs in the playoffs since 97' have gone 0-6 ATS as 4->5.5 point dogs after winning ATS at home and 0-7 ATS as home dogs after losing + winning ATS + going under.  The Knicks have been outscored by an average of 10 points over the last 5 games.  The Nets have been able to contain Marbury as the Knicks play without their 2nd and 3rd leading scorers in Houston and Thomas.  The Nets should close out this series strong tonight.  Win:  Nets close out this series with a 6 point win.

Saturday, April 24:

Miami/New Orleans Under 172:  These two teams have a knack for going under when they play as the last 9 meetings between the teams have been low scoring affairs.  Miami has gone under in 7 straight against New Orleans after winning ATS at home and the Hornets have gone under in 9 of their last 11 against the Heat after an under.  For Miami, the under is 6-0 in their last 6 as 2->3.5 point dogs after 4 straight wins and 6-0-1 in their last 7 playoff games after winning ATS + going under.  New Orleans has gone under in 3 of their last 4 at home and in all 6 games at home this season in conference games after 2 straight unders.  With the Hornets hobbled at the point and the Heat giving up an average of just 78.8 points a game over their last 5, we think the under is a safe bet here.  Win:  This game goes under the total by 24 points to give us a 7-2 playoff record!

Friday, April 23:

Indiana (-4) over Boston:  The Pacers had the best record in the NBA and should be able to handle the team with the worst record in the playoffs, despite playing in Boston.  The Pacers have won 5 in a row against the Celtics (4 of those wins by 13 or more points) and are 6-0 ATS vs. the Celtics in their last 6 meetings with a 4->4.5 point spread.  The Pacers have gone 9-0 ATS this season in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after 2 straight wins and are 7-0-1 ATS the past 2 seasons after winning + going over in 3 straight games.  The Celtics are 1-10-1 ATS this season at home after suffering a loss on the road and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games as home dogs to the Pacers.  Since 1997, Boston is 0-6-1 ATS against the Pacers after losing + going over.  Boston should hang around in this one, but the talent and depth of the Pacers should take them to another convincing win.  Win:  The Pacers smash the Celtics by 23 points!

Thursday, April 22:

San Antonio(-3) over Memphis:  The Spurs are a playoff tested team and should be able to match the intensity the Grizzlies will bring.  Memphis has dropped 6 straight conference games ATS playing after a loss.  Memphis is the dog here, and teams playing as dogs this postseason are just 2-9.  San Antonio is 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games in conference after a win, 7-0 ATS in their last 7 conference games after an under, and 6-0 ATS this season in division games after 4 straight wins.  Over the past month in the NBA, teams are 8-0 ATS in conference games after 3 straight wins + an under and teams are 6-0 ATS as favorites after 9 straight wins.  We like the Spurs to pull away with this one.  Loss:  The Spurs win by 2 as we end up 1 away from the win.

Wednesday, April 21:

Miami (-5) over New Orleans:  The Hornet have gone just 1-7 ATS in their last 8 games after winning 2 straight ATS and in the NBA this season, teams playing in conference games as 4->5.5 point dogs after losing + winning ATS + going under on the road are 1-10 ATS (Hornet's situation).  The Heat have gone 11-2 ATS this season as home favorites after a home game and are 8-0 ATS at home after a loss ATS this season.  Over the past 2 seasons, Miami is 7-0 ATS at home in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after going under the previous game. In the NBA over the past month, teams are 13-0 ATS as home favorites after 4 unders and 9-0 ATS as favorites after winning + losing ATS + going under (Miami's situations tonight).  The Heat will look to take advantage of the banged up guards of New Orleans and should be able to run to a victory tonight. 

Win:  Miami destroys the Hornet by 30 points!

Tuesday, April 20:

Indiana (-9) over Boston:  The Pacers will be playing without Artest and we think this is too over emphasized as Indiana has gone 4-2 ATS this season without him and Pierce for the Celtics has struggled shooting towards the end of the season no matter who they played.  The Pacers are 7-0 ATS this season as 8->9.5 point favorites after an over and have won 6 in a row ATS as home favorites of 8->9.5 points.  Over the past 2 seasons the Pacers are 6-0-1 ATS after winning + going over in 3 straight games and 8-1 ATS as home favorites after winning ATS + going over at home.  In the NBA, teams are 6-0 ATS as 8->9.5 point favorites after 2 overs at home this season and teams are 12-2 ATS as home favorites in the postseason after 3 wins in a row the past 2 seasons.  The Celtics are 1-7-1 ATS since last season as dogs in conference games after going over on the road and have gone just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games overall.  Boston was outscored 48-28 in the paint in game one and the Pacers dominance should continue tonight.  Win:  Indiana pulls away for a 13 point win to make us 4-1 so far in the playoffs!

Monday, April 19: Monday Madness Now 20-12

San Antonio (-10) over Memphis:  The Spurs enter tonight's contest after destroying the Grizzlies in game 1, and there are many trends to say they will do it again.  This seasons the Spurs are 7-0 ATS as home favorites of 10->11.5 after a win ATS, 6-0 ATS in division games after 4 straight wins, 9-0 ATS at home in conference games after 3 straight wins, and 8-0 ATS at home after 2 unders.  The Spurs have also won 7 in a row ATS at home as conference favorites and 7 straight in the postseason after going under in 3 straight.  This past month in the NBA, teams are 10-0 ATS as home favorites after 4 unders (Spurs situation).  Memphis is 0-6 ATS this season in division games after a loss on the road, 0-8 ATS on the road in conference games after losing ATS and going under on the road the past 2 seasons, and 0-8 ATS since 96' as road dogs of 10->11.5 after losing ATS and going under on the road.  The Grizzlies are banged up and the veteran Spurs will be strong again tonight.  Win:  The Spurs bury the Grizzlies in the second half and win by 17 points.

San Antonio/Memphis Under 173.5:  The first game between these two was under the total to make it six straight meetings that have gone under.  Memphis has gone under in 5 straight meetings with San Antonio after losing ATS on the road.  In the NBA over the past month, teams playing as road dogs in division games after 4 losses have gone under in all 6 games (Memphis' situation).  Over the last 2 season, the Grizzlies have gone under in 10 of 11 games playing on the road in conference games after 4 straight losses.  For the Spurs this season, the under is 8-0 after 7 straight wins, 6-0 at home in division games after winning ATS, and 11-0 in conference games as favorites after going under at home.  The under is 6-0 for teams playing at home in confernce after 2 home games this pas month in the NBA and the under is 7-0 for teams playing after 6 straight wins and unders this season in the NBA (Spurs situation).  Look for the strong Spurs defense to shut down the Grizzlies offense again as they did in game one.  Win:  This goes under by 16.5 points as the Spurs hold the Grizzlies to just 70 points.

Sunday, April 18:

Milwaukee/Detroit Under 177:  Detroit is one of the top defensive teams in the league giving up just 83.3 points per game at home this season and 81.4 in their last 5.  Defensively they have become stronger with both Wallaces in the inside.  In the postseason since 1996, teams playing as 10->11.5 point dogs after 3 unders have gone under in all 5 games (Milwaukee's situation) and Detroit has gone under in 10 of 11after losing + going under on the road.  The Bucks have gone under in 5 straight as road dogs to Detroit after losing ATS, 7 straight in division games, and in all 6 games this season as road dogs after 2 losses.  In the NBA over the past month, teams have gone under in 11 of the 12 games as road dogs in division games after losing ATS and going under.  Expect Detroit to set the tempo in this one as their defense will carry the pace.  Loss:  Detroit brings the defense, but Milwaukee brings nothing as this goes over the total.

Saturday, April 17:

Memphis/San Antonio Under 175:  These teams usually end up in a defensive struggle when they meet as they have gone under in 5 straight meetings (All 4 meetings this season with an average of 164 points total).  The Spurs are hot and have a knack for going under in that situation.  This season, the under for the Spurs has gone 9-1 as home favorites after 4 wins, 9-2 as favorites after 7 wins, and 7-1 as home favorites in conference after a home game.  Over the past 2 seasons, the under has gone 7-1-1 for the Spurs as home favorites after 6 wins, and for the Grizzlies the under is 9-1 on the road after 4 losses and 11-2 on the road as dogs after a home game.  Memphis' top scorer Gasol is nursing a foot injury and scoring against the tough Spurs defense should prove difficult as San Antonio has allowed an average of just 72 points over the last 5 games and 78.5 over their last 11.  Win:  The Spurs hold the Grizzlies to just 35% shooting as this one falls under the total.

Wednesday, April 14:

Cleveland (+3) over New York:  The Cavaliers are looking to end the season strong and send a message to the playoff bound Knicks.  The Cavs have won 2 in a row SU and ATS after the return of Jeff McInnis.  The previous big losing streak was due to his absence and the Cavs had a huge winning streak just before he was injured.  New York rested their starters in the last game and should be resting them tonight as the Knicks have a slim chance of moving up in position, but they don't show interest in that as we think they would rather face New Jersey in round 1.  Cleveland has won 4 straight meetings between the 2 (SU and ATS) and will be going for the season sweep tonight.  In the NBA this season, teams are 11-2 ATS as 2->3.5 point dogs after winning SU + ATS + going under in 2 straight games (Cav's situation).  Teams in the NBA over the past month have gone 1-9 ATS as 2->3.5 point favorites in conference games after an over (New York's situation).  Win:  Cavs win this game outright by a convincing 10 points!

Tuesday, April 13:

Dallas/Memphis Over 218:  The Mavericks offense will look to stay in fine tune tonight as they have gone over in 7 straight games and in 12 of the last 14.  Being home favorites of 6->7.5 points is a good thing for the Mavericks.  Dallas has gone over in all 6 the past 2 seasons in that spot.  In the NBA when teams play in that position after 2 losses on the road, the over is 7-0 this season and the over is 6-0 since the previous season when the game is a division game.  Since 2001, Dallas has gone over in 6 straight as home favorites of 6->7.5 after going over on the road.  Memphis has gone over in all 7 games the past 2 season on the road in 6->7.5 point games after a road game.  The over for Memphis is 6-1 this season after 2 losses on the road and 7-1 in conference games after 2 losses.  Look for Dallas to continue their high scoring pace of averaging 113 points the past 5 games and dragging the Grizz over with them.  Loss:  This one falls under by just a couple of baskets.

Monday, April 12:  Monday Madness Now 18-12

Chicago (-6.5) over Orlando:  The Orlando Magic continue to struggle through their woeful season and are a horrible 1-14 ATS without their star T-Mac.  Orlando has gone 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games, 1-12 ATS this season as dogs in conference games after 5 losses, and 0-7 ATS in 6->7.5 point games after 2 losses this season.  Orlando is 0-6 ATS against the Bulls after a loss ATS at home.  Chicago has won all 3 games this season (by 6 early in the season, then by 14 and 18) SU and ATS and have taken 5 of the last 7 ATS.  In the NBA the past month, teams playing in Chicago's position of home favorites by 6->7.5 points in conference games after a win + over have gone 6-0-1 ATS.  We like the Bulls to dominate inside and sweep the series with the Magic easily.  Loss:  Magic win this one as the Bulls collapse with a dismal performance at home.

Sunday, April 11:

L.A. Lakers/Sacramento Under 204.5:  Sacramento should be emphasizing good defense this game as the Lakers will look to dominate the interior defense of the Kings and this should keep the scoring at a lower pace.  The Lakers have gone under in all 10 games the past 2 seasons as dogs after a game at home and have gone under in all 6 games as dogs this season after a win.  The Kings have gone under in all 8 games this season as home favorites after losing + losing ATS and have gone under in all 9 games the past 2 seasons as favorites after 2 losses.  The Lakers have gone under in 11 of the 13 games at Sacramento after 2 home games.  The Kings have gone under in all 5 games at home (since 96') with a 2->3.5 point spread after a road game.  We look for this one to stay under the total.  Win:  This one stays under by a whopping 17 points to give us 4 NBA Top Notch Pick wins in a row to make us 8-2-1 the past 9 days!

Saturday, April 10:

Utah (-4) over Houston:  The Jazz enter the contest looking to make the playoffs while the Rockets may be in for a letdown after clinching a berth last night.  Utah has won 7 straight ATS as favorites after an over and 7 straight ATS as 2->3.5 (line started at 3.5) point favorites after losing and going over.  Utah is 6-0 ATS as home favorites of 2->3.5 after an over the past 2 seasons and are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 meetings with the Rockets and are 4-2 ATS in their last 6 overall (2 losses were to two of the NBA's hottest teams, the Mavs and Spurs).  Houston has gone 0-7 ATS as dogs after winning 2 straight games this season and have lost 9 in a row ATS as road dogs after 2 wins.  Teams playing as road dogs in division games over the past month in the NBA have gone 0-6 ATS and Houston enters that situation tonight.  The Rockets are playing in their 4th game in 5 days and should show signs of fatigue after the starters logged big minutes in the hard atmosphere of Denver last night.  We like Utah to win big tonight.  Win:  Utah pulls away in the 4th for a win of 13 points!  We're now a blazing 7-2-1 in the past 8 days!

Friday, April 9:

Game of the Week  Portland/San Antonio Under 173:  In this critical game with playoff implications, the under looks like a great bet as this should be a defensive struggle.  Portland has gone under in 5 straight games as dogs after an under at home and in 6 straight games dating back to last season in games with an 8->9.5 points spread after 2 unders (2 of those games in San Antonio).  The Spurs have gone under in all 8 games this season as conference favorites after an under at home and in all 6 games dating back to last season as home favorites of 8->9.5 points in conference games after winning ATS at home.  San Antonio has won 6 in a row and teams playing in that situation in the NBA this season in games with an 8->9.5 point spread have gone under in all 8 games.  The Spurs have gone under in all 8 contests with Portland since 96' after when playing after a win ATS at home.  Portland has been playing good defense of late and the Spurs are one of the top defensive teams in the league.  Win:  This game goes under easily by a whopping 15 points as the total is just 158.

Thursday, April 8:

Dallas (-9.5) over Utah:  The Jazz are in the playoff race, but run into a buzz saw tonight as the Mavericks are closing out a 5 game home stand and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 at home and 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall.  Dallas is 10-1 ATS as home favorites in conference games after 2 wins this season, 8-0 ATS as home favorites after 5 wins the past 2 seasons, and 8-1 ATS at home after 3 wins this season.  In the NBA over the past 2 seasons, teams are 15-1 ATS as 8->9.5 point favorites in division games after 2 home games.  (Dallas' situation tonight).  Utah has struggled on the road and will be playing as road dogs of 8->9.5 points in a division game after winning S.U. + ATS and going under (teams in the NBA the past 2 seasons have gone 1-11 ATS in that spot).  Utah should hang for awhile, but Dallas should pull away for an easy win.  Win:  Dallas blows away the Jazz and win by 23 points!

Wednesday, April 7:

Boston/Miami Under 196:  These teams have combined to score at most 180 points in their last 10 meetings.  In those contests, the line has been set at no higher than 182.5 and the under has won in 8 of those contests (with one of the overs by .5 a point).  The Celtics have gone under in all 7 games the past 2 seasons in games with a 4->5.5 point spread after losing on the road.  Miami is allowing just 87.7 points a game at home this season and have gone under in 6 straight conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after a win.  Miami has also gone under in all 7 games the past 2 seasons in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after going under on the road.  Over the past month in the NBA, teams have gone under in all 8 games as home favorites of 4->5.5 in division games after winning ATS. (Miami's situation tonight).  Loss:  This one totals 205 thanks to 37 point 2nd quarter by Miami.

Indiana (-5.5) over Toronto:  Toronto has gone 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games with their lone win over the struggling Cavs last night.  The Raptors are 0-8-1 ATS at home in conference games after an under this season, 1-13 ATS in their last 14 as home dogs in conference after an under, and 1-10 ATS in their last 11 as home dogs of 4->5.5 in conference after a win ATS.  Indiana has gone 10-1 ATS on the road this season in 4->5.5 point games, 12-2 ATS in their last 14 on the road after an over, and 7-0 ATS the past 2 seasons in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after an over at home.  Indiana has won all 3 meetings with Toronto this season by an average of 13 points.  The Pacers are looking to end the season with the best record in the NBA and should help solidify it by eliminating the Raptors from the playoffs tonight.  Loss:  This one losses by 1.5 points as Indiana blows a lead of 18 in the 3rd quarter.

Houston (-5) over L.A. Clippers:  Houston has struggled lately but should find their stroke again tonight against the Clippers whom have lost 11 games in a row.  The Rockets are 7-1 ATS the past 2 seasons on the road in conference games after losing + going over on the road and are 7-0-1 ATS as road favorites of 4->5.5 points in conference games after losing ATS (3-0-1 vs. the Clippers) since 1996.  The Clippers are 0-10 ATS this season in 4->5.5 point games after an over, and in the past 2 seasons are 0-8 ATS in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after losing + going over and 2-11 ATS as home dogs in conference games after losing and going over.  Over the past month in the NBA, teams have gone 1-9 ATS as 4->5.5 point dogs after going over at home (L.A.'s situation).  We like the Rockets big tonight.  Win:  Houston blows out the Clippers by 23 points!

Tuesday, April 6:

Detroit (-15) over Orlando:  This may seem like a lot of points, but Orlando is that bad as they have lost 8 in row ATS and playing without McGrady they are a dismal 0-12 ATS this season.  To make matters worse, Orlando this season is 0-12 ATS after losing ATS + going under at home, 1-10 ATS as road dogs after 2 losses ATS, 0-8 ATS as dogs in conference games after 5 losses, and 1-8 ATS after 10 losses in a row.  The Pistons are peaking at the right time as they have gone 15-4 ATS in their last 19 games.  Detroit will be seeking revenge for a straight up home loss to the Magic last time they were in town in February.  This time the Pistons should roll easily as no T-Mac should prove costly for the Magic again.  Win:  Detroit cover the spread by 1 as the Magic hit a garbage layup.

Dallas (-10) over Seattle:  Dallas is one of the hottest teams in the NBA right now as they have 5 in a row ATS and are streaking towards the playoffs.  The Mavericks are 10-0 ATS this season as home favorites in conference games after 2 wins and 8-0 ATS after winning 3 games in a row.  In the NBA over the past month, teams playing as favorites in conference games after 4 wins ATS have gone 8-1 ATS and teams playing at home in conference games after 5 wins SU + ATS have gone 9-0-2 ATS.  Seattle has lost 2 in a row ATS and have dropped 3 of their last 4 ATS in Dallas.  The Mavericks have gone 8-1 in their last 9 ATS against Seattle at home after a home game.  Push:  Dallas leads throughout and ends the game with a 10 point lead.

Sunday, April 4:

Sacramento/Houston Over 192.5:  The Kings have gone over in their past 2 games and in their last 5 they have allowed 110 points a game.  The Rockets have allowed an uncharacteristic102.6 a game in their last 5 and have gone over in 5 straight games in conference with a PK=>1.5 spread and after losing and going over on the road.  Over the past year in the NBA, teams have gone over in 11 of the 12 games when team is favored at home of PK->1.5 after losing SU + ATS + going over.  The over is 8-1-1 for Houston in their last 10 games and 5 of the last 6 meetings between these two have gone over.  We expect a high scoring affair in this one.  Win:  This one just notches us a win by .5 a point and gives us a winning weekend at 3-2.

Saturday, April 3:

Dallas (-12.5) over Phoenix:  The Mavericks are peaking at the right time as they are on a 5-game home stand which has started 2-0.  This bodes well for Dallas tonight as they are 8-0 ATS this season as home favorites after 2 wins.  The Mavs have won 4 straight games ATS and have averaged 117.6 points in their last 5 games.  Phoenix has allowed an average of 100.2 points a game in the past 5 games and have dropped two games SU and ATS to the Mavericks in March.  Phoenix is coming off a loss in Memphis last night and are 3-12 ATS this season in conference games after losing + going over.  In the NBA this past month, teams playing in Dallas' position of playing at home in a conference game after winning 2 in a row SU and ATS have gone 9-0-2 ATS.  We like Dallas early and often here in a blowout win.  Win:  Dallas rolls Phoenix by 21 points.

We started the NBA season 2-0 Wednesday night!  Check out our accurate analysis:

Miami/Philadelphia Under 175:  Even though the last 3 contests played between these two have gone over, the under has gone 15-3 in the last 18 played in Philadelphia.  The Sixers brought in Glen Robinson to score and he is not playing in this game against the Heat.  Although Miami is looking to push the ball more this season, they are still left with a strong defense minded team due to Pat Riley's philosophy.  We like the chance here of this one going under the total.  Win:  Right on cue with our first Top Notch Pick of the season.

San Antonio/Phoenix Under 183:  Without Tony Parker running the point for the Spurs tonight, we don't think the Spurs or the Suns (who played bad in pre-season) can make it a high scoring enough to go over this total.  Since 1996, 14 of the 19 games played between these two teams in San Antonio have gone under the total.  In the Spurs last preseason game they made just 22 of thier 77 field goal attempts and the Suns have not been scoring well throughout the pre-season.  Win:  We cap of a perfect 0-2 start to the season.

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New York (+5) over Orlando:  The Knicks lost in OT (after blowing a 10 point lead) on opening night at home against the Magic and look to extract revenge here.  The Knicks did win ATS in that game and have now won 4 in a row ATS against the Magic.  The Knicks have lost two straight and were 16-4 ATS after two losses a year ago and were 4-0 ATS as road dogs of 4->5.5.  Orlando is 0-3 ATS to start the season (0-2 at home) and, according to T-Mac, not in the flow offensively.  We like the points here as we expect the Knicks to keep it close.  Win:  Knicks defense stiffles struggling offense of the Magic

Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Dallas/Washington Over 191:  The high scoring Mavs take their 103 point a game average into Washington where we like the possibilities for a shootout.  For Washington, the over is 22-5 in the last 27 non-conference games at home (14-2 after an over at home) and 7-1 when the Wizards are dogs at home.  Since last season, in Dallas' games the over is 11-3 when the point spread is 6->7.5 points.  The last two meetings between these two have gone over and we like the outcome of a third in a row.     

Thursday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

L.A. Lakers (-8) over San Antonio:  The Lakers were eliminated from the playoffs by the Spurs last season, but tonight's game the Spurs come into without Duncan and Parker.  Since Duncan went down, the Spurs have barely had time to adjust as this is their third game in four nights.  The Spurs are just 1-3-1 to start the season and have played all weak teams except Phoenix.  The Lakers are on a mission to show their power and what better stage to do it than on prime-time in the defending champs house.  By the way, Kevin Willis has to guard Shaq..  well think the outcome will be well.   Loss: We underestimated the undermanned Spurs.

 

 

Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  New York (+7) over Sacramento:  The Kings have had a tough time in MSG for a long time as they are just 1-16 since 85 and have dropped 5 straight going 1-4 ATS.  In addition to that the Kings are 1-4 ATS in the past 5 meetings overall.  The Knicks are in a good spot here as a home dog.  In the NBA this season, home dogs of 4 or more points are 10-1 ATS.  The Knicks are a formula pick here from a system that is 11-0-1 on the season.  In addition, N.Y. is 21-7-1 ATS as dogs after a loss SU and ATS at home (9-3 when playing at home in this situation with a 2-0 mark against the Kings).  Knicks are hungry for the first home win after blowing double digit leads in their first two home games.  Win:  The Knicks win outright against the Kings!

Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Chicago/New Orleans Over 182:  Tim Floyd gets a chance with his Hornets to play his ex-team in the Bulls and we like the possibility for high scoring.  The Bulls are Over 18-2-1after a game they lost SU and ATS at home while going over (playing as dogs the over is 12-0-1 in the last 13).  For the Bulls the over is also 15-4 as road dogs in division games after an over, 22-6-1 as 8->9.5 pt. dogs in conference, and 23-6-1 on the road after a home loss.  Chicago has gone over in 2 straight and the Hornets have gone over in 4 of 5.  The Hornets have won the last 10 meetings between the two at home, but the games were close (4-6 ATS) and high scoring as the over occurred in 8 of those 10 meetings.  Win:  Total goes over 200 as we win 2 night's in a row to finish the week

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

L.A. Lakers/Memphis Over 193:  The Lakers are on the road and should come out scoring as the over is 17-2 in their last 19 when they are on the road after a road loss.  For the Lakers, the over is also 16-3 as a favorite after 3 overs.  When these teams met in Memphis last season, the Lakers were on a long road trip and were 6->7.5 point favorites like they are now and the totals of those games were 218 and 203.  For Memphis, the over is 10-2 in the last 12 when playing as a dog after losing 2 in a row and going over in those games.  In the NBA, when teams have played as home dogs of 6->7.5 points after 2 overs, the over is 29-13 with the Grizz posting a 4-0 mark to go over in that situation.  Result:  Third NBA Top Notch Pick in a row to cash in!

Golden State (+2) over Phoenix:  The Warriors have won 3 straight at home and are 3-0-2 ATS to start the season, while the Suns have yet to win on the road.  Golden State is 9-2 ATS against Phoenix when the spread is 2->3.5 and 4-2 ATS overall in the last 6 meetings winning all 3 ATS at home.  The Suns are just 1-12 ATS as favorites after winning and going over, with one of those losses coming at Golden State.  The Suns are also just 2-8 ATS in their last 10 after an over.  With many key advantages going to the Warriors in this one, we think the wrong team is favored.  Loss:  Our second Top Notch pick this season to lose by 1 point or less.

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Seattle (+6) over Minnesota:  Minnesota has won 9 straight over the Sonics at the Target center.  General public will know this, that is why the spread is so high.  Seattle has in fact gone 5-0-1 ATS against the Wolves in their last 6 encounters.  The Sonics have started the season 3-1 ATS and are a pick by one of our formulas that has gone 14-2-1 this season.  We like how the Sonics are playing and should fare better than expected against a Wolves team that has not been real impressive this season yet.  Here are other NBA trends this season to back our pick up:  Seattle: after a home loss then playing as dogs in conference teams are 8-0 ATS.  Minnesota:  After two road games then playing as a favorite teams are 2-11 ATS.  Win:  Super Dog calls the underdog as a winner!

Portland (-6) over Toronto:  The Raptors have struggled bad on the road getting blown out twice this season and we expect it to continue tonight.  Toronto is 0-2 ATS on the road this season and are 0-3 ATS when looking for their second win in a row.  Toronto is 9-26 ATS in their last 35 non conference games after a win (dropping 5 straight).  The Trailblazer handled the Raptors last season here by 22 point (yes, Vince Carter played).  Portland is 3-1 ATS as home favorites to start the season and have won 3 in a row ATS against the Raptors.  Loss:  Portland blows double digit lead in this one.

Last Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Chicago (+9) over Boston:  The Bulls travel to Boston to take on a team that eeked out a tough win last night in Indiana.  The Bulls are 3-1 ATS after a loss this season and have gone 5-2 against the Celtics in their past 7 meetings, including an early win in Boston last season.  Boston is just 2-10 ATS in their last 12 games after a win and an under on the road and are 0-3 ATS after a road game this season.  Some NBA trends this season: (8-1 ATS) Chicago in the position of playing in conference on the road after a home game... (7-18-2 ATS) Boston playing after a win and going under.  Chicago came out as a 3-0 Consensus pick in our formulas with one formula being 16-2-1.  We like the points tonight.  Win:  That's 2 upsets in a row as Seattle won SU as a 6 point dog last night and Chicago wins SU as a 9 point dog tonight!

Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

New York (+8.5) over New Jersey:  The Knicks held a team meeting on Wednesday to come out more aggressive, and we think a strong performance is likely against a struggling Nets team.  New York has lost 2 in a row (109-69-5 ATS after 2 losses) and teams in the NBA this season playing as road dog after 2 losses in a row are 11-3 ATS.  The Knick's are a strong consensus pick with our formulas and are 22-9 ATS in their last 31 as dogs after 2 unders.  The Knicks are 4-2 ATS as dogs this season, while the Nets are 1-3 ATS as home favorites.  The Nets may be 8-2 ATS in the past 10 meetings between these two, but have never layed more than 8 points in those games.  Teams in the NBA that have lost the previous game SU and ATS, playing as  favorites are 0-5 ATS this season.  We'll take the 8.5 here.  Win:  Knicks play competitively and only lose by 5 in yet another Top Notch Pick winner.

Game of the Week Orlando (+5.5) over Denver:  T-Mac is questionable tonight, but hunch is that he'll play in front of a national audience.  Despite their poor start to the season, we think the Magic will break out tonight as they have won 10 in a row SU and have gone 9-1 ATS (6 in a row) against the Nuggets in their last 10 meetings.  An NBA trend that favors the Magic this season is that teams that are dogs after 2 overs are 11-1 ATS this season.  Denver has started the season 4-4, but are 0-3 ATS after a win this season and are 3-15 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games after winning ATS and going over.  Teams in the NBA this season that are home favorites of 4->5.5 after an over are 0-6 ATS and teams that are 4->5.5 pt. favorites after a win are 3-13 ATS.  We like Orlando to play close, if not win outright tonight.  Win:  Hopefully you caught this line early as we did, squeeking out a half point win.

Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit/Phoenix Under 183:  There are many NBA trends this season to support a low scoring games here.  Both teams are coming off a road loss where the under is 17-3 this season and with a 2->3.5 pt spread in non conference games after a loss the under is 11-0 this season (both teams in this situation as well).  Phoenix has another NBA trend this season on their side as well, as teams are 0-10 as favorites after a loss and under.  For the Suns, the under is 21-3 in their last 24 non-conference games at home after an under (14 in a row including against Detroit last season), 16-4 in non-conference games after a loss SU and ATS and an under, and 13-3-2 as non-conference home favorites of 2->3.5.  Six of the last seven meetings between these two has gone under and the Pistons have gone under in all 3 games on this road trip so far this season.  The under for the Pistons is 26-45-1 after a win ATS and an under.  Loss:  This one goes over by 8 points.

Last Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland (+8) over Dallas:  To start, this game is a pick from a strong formula that has gone 18-2-1 this season so far.  Portland is looking to avenge last seasons 7 game playoff loss to Dallas.  The Blazers are 20-5 ATS as dogs after an under and 13-2 ATS in their last 15 games as dogs after a road game (including a 4-1 mark against Dallas).  In the NBA this season, teams are 9-2 ATS as dogs in conference after a loss and an under (Portland's situation) and teams are 0-7-1 ATS as favorites after a loss ATS and an over on the road (Dallas' situation).  In their last 14 games as favorites in conference after a loss SU and ATS, the Mavericks are a bad 3-11 ATS.  We will take the points and expect Portland to play close in this one.  Win:  Portland keeps it close enough for another Monday Madness win.

Last Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Miami/Seattle Under 180:  The Heat have been one of the lowest scoring teams in NBA history and this season is now different as the under is 2-4 for Miami on the road this season.  In the midst of a long road trip, Miami comes into Seattle whom have gone under in both home games this season.  In the NBA this season, the under is 9-2 in games where the team that is home favorites in non-conference games after a road game (Seattle's situation) and the under is 11-1 in non-conference games after a loss SU& ATS & Under on the road (Miami's situation).  For the Supersonics, the under is 15-2 as non-conference favorites in their last 17 games after a win and an under (winning 10 times in a row) and  8-1 in their last 9 as home favorites after an under.  Loss:  Miami upset puts a damper on our hot streak.

Last Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New York (+8) over L.A. Lakers:  The Lakers road trip stop in New York after a tough loss to the Piston last night.  The Lakers are 0-5 ATS as road favorites this season, 2-6-1 ATS in their last 9 overall, and just  4-14 ATS in their last 18 non-conference games after losing SU+ ATS and going over.  The Lakers are playing as road favorites after an ATS loss on the road and in the NBA this season, teams are 0-7 ATS in that situation.  The Knicks, on the other hand, are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 overall and 4-1 ATS at home this season.  The Knicks are home dog after a home game and in that situation in the NBA this season, teams are a nice 9-1 ATS.  With this pick being by a formula that is 19-2-1 and the Lakers starting to ail on the road already (Malone's hamstring), we like the Knicks to keep it close tonight.  Loss:  Knicks stay competitive in first half only.

Last Thursday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

San Antonio (+4.5) over Dallas:  The Spurs come into tonight's game 16-3 ATS in their last 19 games on the road and 3-0 ATS as dogs this season.  Dallas has gone just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games and are 3-7 ATS as favorites this season.  San Antonio has recently been the victor in the ATS meetings between these two with a 43-25-1 mark in their last 69 meeting and a 6-1 ATS mark in their last 7 meetings in Dallas.  With the Spurs playing well on the road, we like them as 4.5 point dogs in this one.  Win:  This game goes down to the last minute as the Spurs lose by just 3.

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

San Antonio (-10.5) over Atlanta:  The Spurs come into tonight's game after last night's close loss (3-1 ATS after a loss this season)  to Dallas looking to take out frustrations on a team that they have won 8 of their last 9 meetings ATS against.  In fact, the Spurs have won 8 straight ATS as home favorites against the Hawk with wins in their last 4 by 15, 29, 22, and 13.  Atlanta won their last game ATS, but are already 0-4 ATS in that situation.  In their last 18 non-conference games as road dogs, the Hawks are a miserable 3-15 ATS dropping 9 in a row.  This situation looks good for the defending champs to roll tonight.  Win:  Spurs win by a whoping 39 points in this blowout called by the Super Dog!

Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  Cleveland/Atlanta Over 190.5:  Both teams come into tonight's game after tough losses last night, but both games went over.  In fact the Cavs have gone over in 3 straight and the Hawks have gone over in 6 straight now.  In the NBA this season, there are many trends to support the over for both teams.  In Cleveland's situation, the over is 8-1 when playing as dogs in a conference game after 2 losses ATS in a row.  In Atlanta's situation, the over's a perfect 10-0 in conference games after losing SU + ATS and going over on the road.  The over is 12-2 in the last 14 meetings between these two, with this being the lowest total line in the past 7 meetings.  With support from one of our strong total formula, we make this our G.O.W.  Loss:  LeBron James' worst night from the field as a pro as these teams disappointingly run out of gas.

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit (-2.5) over Atlanta:  The Pistons are coming off a last second loss to the Hornets yesterday and should get back on track tonight as they are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 in Division on the road after a loss and loss ATS (16-2-1 on the road in division games after an under).  In the NBA this season, teams are 8-0 ATS when playing on the road in conference after a loss ATS at home.  Detroit is a good road team as they are 27-9-2  in their last 38  road games with a (2->3.5) point spread.  Atlanta is coming off a win against the Cavs and are just 3-27 ATS in their last 30 as dogs after a win, 3-17 ATS in their last 20 in conference as dogs after a win, and 0-3 this season after a win+under.  With Atlanta being just 1-10 and 5-20 in game after an under at home, we like the Piston to roll tonight.  Win:  The Piston rule on the road again, winning by 5.

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New Jersey/Seattle Under 182.5:  Many trends in the NBA this season favor this one to go under the total:  For New Jersey, teams in the NBA have gone under in 7 of the 8 games when playing as road dogs in non-conference games after an over.  For Seattle, teams in the NBA have gone under in all 8 games at home in non-conference contests after a loss ATS and an under.  Seattle has gone under in 14 of their last 16 as non-conference favorites after a win and an under and has gone under in 14 of their last 17 games as non-conference favorites after an under at home.  The Sonics have also gone under in 15 of their last 17 games as home favorites of PK-1.5 (going under in 7 straight).  The Nets have gone under in 4 of their last 5 games and under in 8 straight in non-conference road games after a loss (14 of last 16 as well).  Win:  The Nets blaze and the Sonics fizzle to a combined 163 points to go well under the total.

Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit (+2.5) over Philadelphia:  The Pistons come into tonight's game thriving on the road having gone 7-1 ATS on the road this season and are 20-5-1 ATS in their last 26 games in the conference on the road when the spread is 2->3.5.  Even better yet, as dogs they are a perfect 6-0 ATS and are 6-2-1 ATS off a win this season.  Philadelphia continues to be a poor home favorite as they are just 1-4 ATS this season and are 0-3 ATS so far this season on 0 days rest.  An NBA trend that does not favor Philadelphia winning here:  This season teams are 0-10 ATS in 2->3.5 games after a loss ATS + Over on the road and 1-7 ATS at home in conference games with a 2->3.5 spread after a loss ATS.  Coach Brown returns to Philadelphia and we expect him to keep it close if not to pull out the win against his former team.  Loss:  Billups and Hamilton fouled out with 3 minutes left an a 5 point lead... downhill from there.

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Indiana (-4.5) over Philadelphia:  The Pacers are on of the hottest teams in the NBA having won 10 of their last 13 ATS, including a white washing of the Knicks last night where they could play their bench for part of the game.  The Pacer are amidst a home stand and have won 4 in a row ATS at home and 7 in a row ATS as home favorites of 4->5.5.  Indiana is also 16-4-1 ATS in their last 20 games as home favorites after a winning 2 in a row SU and ATS (15-3-1 in conference).  Philadelphia has gone 2-7 ATS in their last 9 games and are 1-6 ATS this season after a win (2-5 ATS after an under).  The Pacers have dominated recent meetings between the two teams winning 8 of the last 10 ATS (including an 11-point victory earlier this season over the Sixers).  We like the Pacers to win big tonight.  Win:  The Pacers roll over the Sixers by 13 points to easily cover.

Last Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit (-4) over Washington:  The Pistons have won 4 straight meetings in Washington (3-1 ATS) and 3 of the last 4 meetings ATS overall.  The Pistons are a nice 7-2 ATS on the road this season and are 4-1 ATS on back to back games.  The Pistons are also a nice 23-7-1 ATS in conference games on the road after a loss ATS at home.  Washington is playing without their star Arenas who averages 20.8 pts, 5.1 rebounds, and 5.1 assists per game.  This kind of production is hard to replace as the Wizards have loss 7 of their last 10 SU.  In the NBA this season, there are key trend to support this situation for both teams:  Detroit: Teams are 7-0 ATS in 2->3.5 games on the road in conference after a loss ATS + under and 9-2 playing on the road after a loss ATS+under in 2 straight games.  Washington:  Teams are 0-9 ATS this season in 2->3.5 games after a loss SU+ATS+over on the road.  Win:  Pistons win by 11 as the Wizards can't hang in this one.

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Memphis (+5) over Boston:  The Grizzlies have been on the road a lot recently and visit the Celtic where they are a very nice 10-0-1 ATS in their last 11 meetings as dogs to Boston (7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 meetings overall against the Celtics).  Memphis is also 13-2 ATS in their last 15 as non-conference road dogs after winning SU + ATS + going over and 10-2 ATS in their last 12 as 4->5.5 point dogs in non-conference games after a road game.  The Celtics are just 1-6 ATS after a road game this season and 10-28 ATS in their last 48 as home favorites after going over in 3 straight games.  The Celtics won by 2 on Oct. 31 in Memphis (push) and we like the revenge factor here for the Grizzlies in their last meeting with the Celtics this season.  Even with Jason Williams questionable, we like the Grizzlies to keep it close tonight.  Win:  Memphis wins outright by 7 as Monday Madness in the NBA is now 5-0!

 

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Cleveland (+6.5) over Denver:  The Cavs come into tonight's contest seeking revenge for the loss at home to Denver early in the season with the 'hype' on the rookies.  Cleveland is in a good spot as they are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 non-conference games with a 6->7.5 point spread after losing and going over.  In the NBA, after teams have lost 6 in a row ATS, the trend strongly changes for them to win.  Teams in the NBA that are playing on the road after a loss at home are 28-13 ATS this season (Cavs spot).  The Nuggets are just 1-13 ATS in their last 14 non-conference games after winning SU + ATS in 2 straight games.  With Boozer back in the front court for the Cavs, they are a much better team and should keep it close or end that 30 game road losing streak.  Loss:  The Cavs lead many times, but falter in the end, losing by 11.

Last Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Boston (+2) over Toronto:  The new look Raptors won last night in Philadelphia (0-5 ATS on 0 days rest), but come home to play a Celtics team that is 7-3 ATS on 1 day rest, 3-1 ATS in their last 4 as dogs, and backed up by many trends to win in this situation.  In the NBA this season, teams in Boston's situation of playing on the road with a 2->3.5 point spread after a loss ATS at home are 11-1 ATS (9-0 ATS after an under as well) and teams are 13-1 ATS on the road in conference after losing SU+ATS at home and going under.  The Raptors are 1-3 ATS as home favorites this season, 2-6 ATS after a win, and 2-13 in their last 15 games as home favorites after winning SU+ATS and going over on the road (dropping 7 in a row).  We like the Celts to win tonight.  Loss:  We now take note of the Raptors who played great.

Utah (+7.5) over Houston:  Utah has been a great surprise this season as they are now 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 road games, 7-2 ATS on 1 day rest, and 7-2-1 in their last 10 as dogs.  They visit Houston having won 4 of the last 5 meetings ATS (including a SU win by 7 earlier this season in Utah) and are 17-7 ATS against Houston after winning 3 games.  The Rockets are 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, 1-4 in their last 5 as favorites, and 0-8 ATS in their last 8 as home favorites in conference games after losing SU+ATS and going over.  We like the Jazz to keep it close as they are 17-4-1 ATS in (6->7.5) point games after playing 4 games on the road.  Win:  Utah takes it to overtime and keeps it close for the ATS win.

New York (+4.5) over Seattle:  The Knicks are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games and continue to be one of the best teams ATS this season.  New York is in a good spot to play well tonight as they are 14-2 ATS in their last 16 as non-conference dogs after losing at home, 9-1 as 4->5.5 point dogs in their last 10 after losing at home, and 24-8-2 ATS in their last 34 as dogs after a home game.  Seattle is 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games, 1-5 ATS in their last 6 at home, and 1-5 ATS this season after a home game.  New York has won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two ATS and are 7-2-1 ATS after a loss this season.  We will take the points tonight.  Loss:  Knicks keep it close till losing it in the fourth and fall by 8.

 

Thursday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit (-5) over Cleveland:  The Pistons come into tonight's 8-4 ATS in their last 8 on the road and 2-1 ATS in their last 3 games in Cleveland.  The Pistons are coming off a home loss to Philly, and when teams this season are in a division game on the road after a home loss, they have a 15-2 ATS record.  The Cavalier's are 2-8 ATS in their last 10 games and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 as dogs (including 0-3 ATS as home dogs this season).  We like the Piston's to come out strong and play a blow-out type basketball against an out-matched Cavaliers team.  Loss:  Piston's play a lack luster game and lose to the Cavs.

Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland (+9.5) over San Antonio:  Last night the Trailblazers almost beat the Rockets, a team that the Spurs will play their next two games against (inner state rivalry).  The Spurs might have a let down looking forward to these games playing a Portland team that is 0-7 SU on the road this season.  San Antonio is 0-5 SU and ATS in theri last 5 against Western Conference opponents and their 3 game win streak is against weak teams in the east.  Portland is 15-3 ATS in their last 18 as dogs after a road game (2 of those wins in S.A.), 12-1-1 ATS on the road in 8->9.5 point games after a loss on the road, and 10-1-1 ATS as road dogs after 2 loss.es on the road.  Portland has won the last 2 ATS in San Antonio and are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 overall.  We like the Trailblazers to play tough tonight.  Loss:  The Blazer's lay an egg as only two players show up to play

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland (+7) over Houston:  The last 3 meetings between these two teams have been won by the Blazers and we think tonight's game will be close.  Portland is 7-1 ATS this season after an ATS loss and are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 (losing to a red hot Memphis team).  Portland is also 15-3 ATS the past 2 seasons as dogs after a road game and 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games as road dogs after losing and going under on the road.  In the NBA this season, teams are 21-8-1 ATS as road dogs in conference games after losing SU+ATS+ going under (Portland's situation).  Houston is just 3-13 ATS in their last 16 conference games after winning 2 in a row ATS and are 1-3 ATS in their last 4 as favorites.  After a fight nearly occured in their earlier meeting this season (Portland won), we expect a close contest tonight.  Win:  Portland almost wins SU at the buzzer, but wins ATS!

Last Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Utah (-5.5) over Boston:  Utah is a nice 13-3-1 ATS on the season, mostly due to a 10-1 SU record at home and a 26-12 ATS record the past 2 seasons as home favorites (4-1 ATS this season).  The Jazz lost a close one in L.A. last night and are 6-1 ATS this season after a loss, 6-1 ATS after a road game, and 2-0 ATS on no days rest (The Celtics are 0-3 on no days rest this season).  Boston is now just 1-8 ATS on the road this season.  NBA trends against Boston:  Teams are 4-13 ATS on the road in 4->5.5 games after 2 overs and 1-11 ATS in non-conference games with a 4->5.5 pt spread after 2 overs.  NBA trends favoring Utah:  Teams are 10-1 ATS as home favorites of 4->5.5 after a loss + under and teams are 12-1 ATS as non-conference favorites after an under.  Loss:  Boston wins for only the 2nd time in last 15 visits to Houston.

Last Sunday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

L.A. Lakers (-11.5) over Utah:  This game was to be Utah playing Karl Malone, but with the mailman suspended, the Jazz may be due for a letdown as they we're looking forward to that game.  The Jazz have been horrible over the past 17 games in L.A. going just 4-13 ATS and losing 5 in a row.  The Lakers are 7-2-1 ATS as home favorites this season and have won 6 in a row ATS.  As home favorites the past two seasons, the Lakers are 23-9-1 after 1 win, 17-3-1 after 2 wins, and 19-8-1 in their last 28 at home as favorites after 8 wins.  Since last season, the Lakers are 18-3-1 ATS after winning and going over in 6 straight. Loss:  Lakers blow a 21 point lead in the third and squeek out a win.

No NBA Top Notch Picks made Saturday

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Game of the Week  Phoenix (+3.5) over Boston:  Phoenix won both meetings SU and ATS last season and will look to start a road trip in a good situation.  In the NBA this season with games that have a point spread of (2->3.5), teams are 11-1 on the road after a loss ATS at home (9-0 ATS after an under) (Phoenix's situation) and teams are 1-11 ATS after losing ATS and going over on the road (Boston's situation).  The Suns are 12-1 ATS in their last 13 non-conference road games after 2 losses ATS and 19-5-1 ATS in their last 25 games as dogs after an under.  The Celtics are just 2-12 ATS at home in games with a 2->3.5 point spread after losing and going over on the road, 1-7 ATS after road games this season, and 0-3 ATS in their last 3 games.  The Suns are struggling, but an East coast road trip could cure all ills.   Win:  The Suns erase a 29 point deficit to win the game outright by 5!  Great comeback called by the Super Dog.

Atlanta (+7) over Toronto:  We went away from the Raptors and lost on Wednesday, but we can't help but think this is a way too high point spread.  Toronto is 2-13 ATS in their last 15 against Atlanta after a win ATS, 2-16 ATS at home in their last 18 after a win, and 2-7 ATS in their last 9 after 2 wins.  In the NBA this season, teams are 1-8 ATS as favorites in their divisions after 2 overs in a row (Toronto's situation) and teams are 8-1 ATS after a home loss playing as road dogs in a division game (18-3-1 in conference) (this is Atlanta's situation).  The Hawks are 11-2 ATS in their last 13 as dogs after losing SU+ATS and going over in 2 straight games.  Atlanta is also 16-3 ATS in their last 19 division games with a (6->7.5) point spread after losing ATS at home.  We'll take the points in this one.  Win:  We took the 7 points and the Hawks only lost by 5 (with chances to win) to give us a Top Notch win.

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Chicago/Milwaukee Over 189:  The Bulls have gone over in 26 of their last 33 games as dogs after a loss ATS at home.  Milwaukee has gone over the total in 6 of their last 9 games after a win and in 11 of their last 12 after a win where the total was under.  When the point spread is at 6->7.5 in Milwaukee's games this season, the over has occurred all 5 times.  In the NBA this season so far, the total has gone over in 10 of the 12 division road games after losing ATS and going under at home (Chicago's situation) and in 13 of 16 as division favorites after an under at home (The Buck's situation).  Trends are very favorable for this game to go over.  Win:  Both teams combine for 204 points to make a winner here.

Game of the Week  L.A. Lakers (-7.5) over Dallas:  The Lakers are riding a 28 game winning streak tonight and we like the probability of it going to 29 tonight as the Lakers have won 5 straight meetings ATS with the Mavs.  In fact the Lakers have not let the Mavericks  lead in either of the games they played earlier this season, winning both by double digits.  The Lakers are 17-4-1 ATS in their last 22 as home favorites after a win and are 26-11 ATS in their last 37 played after 10 straight wins.  The Mavericks are 0-9 ATS on the road this season and 2-5 ATS in their last 7.  Dallas is just 2-16 ATS in their last 18 on the road in conference games after a road game and 1-11 ATS in their last 12 after losing SU and ATS on the road.  With Nowitski playing on a sore ankle, we like the Laker's to roll again when these teams meet tonight.  Loss:  Dallas wins as Payton gets thrown out and Shaq gets into foul trouble.

Last Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Boston/Cleveland Over 196.5:  The Celtics have gone over in 6 straight games and in 5 straight on the road.  They come into Cleveland going over in 10 of their last 11 road games after 4 wins in a row and going over in 13 of their last 17 games against conference opponents after losing ATS + going over the total (7 in a row have gone over).  The Cavs have gone over in 5 of their last 6 at home and teams playing as home dogs after a win + over have gone over the total in 10 of 11 games this season.  During the past 2 seasons in the NBA, the over is 19-3 in games where teams are home dogs (pk->1.5) after a win.  For Boston, in the NBA this season, teams have gone over in 10 of 11 games on the road in conference after losing ATS and 11 of 13 have gone over for teams as road favorites in conference games after losing ATS at home.  The over has won in 6 of the last 9 meetings between these two and we like a high scoring affair tonight as well.  Win:  LeBron and Pierce light up the scoreboard and help this total over 200 points.

No NBA Top Notch Pick made Sunday

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Minnesota/Boston Over 198.5:  These two teams have both won 5 games in a row, mainly due to the offensive production.  Boston has gone over in 11 of their last 12 games and in their last 10 games they have given up 100 or more six times and have gone over 100 six straight times (7 overall).  Boston is coming off a road game in Cleveland that went over and have gone over in 7 of 10 this season after a road game.  The Timberwolves have gone over in 9 of their last 11 and have averaged 103 points in their last 4 games.  Last season these two teams had games where the totals were 204 and 207 when they met and have gone over in 5 of their last 7 meetings.  We think the points will be scoring high again tonight it this one.  Win:  The total of this one turns up to be 212 as we notch another win in the NBA.

Last Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

7:00 pm est Utah (-2) over Washington:  The Jazz have been one of the best teams ATS in the NBA this season and should continue tonight as they have won 7 in a row ATS against the Wizards.  In addition, the Jazz have won 7 in a row ATS on the road and are 6-3-1 ATS after a win this season.  The Wizards have been horrid this season as they are 2-9 ATS in their last 11 overall and 1-5 ATS in their last 6 after a road game (they are just 1-5 ATS as home dogs this season).  With their two star players out (Arenas and Stackhouse) and their third best getting over flu symptoms (Brown), we don't see how the Wizards will be very competitive tonight.  Loss:  Utah comes up short of forcing overtime and giving this one a chance.

7:30 pm est Miami (-4.5) over Atlanta:  The Hawks have lost 3 in a row ATS going just 2-6 ATS in their last 8 games and are just 1-5 ATS in their last 6 games on the road.  It doesn't get any better for them as they play a Heat team that they have dropped 5 of 6 meetings ATS against.  That one win was earlier this season, but that was a banged up Heat team.  Miami is now healthy and playing well as they have won 3 in a row ATS and are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games at home (3-0 ATS as home favorites).  We look for Miami to avenge the earlier loss this season as they are out to prove that they are not the same team that started the season 0-7 and lost to Atlanta.  Win:  The Heat continue their hot streak as they blaze up the Hawks.

8:00 pm est Houston (+4) over Minnesota:  The Rockets have lost 2 straight (to the red hot Spurs), but won 4 games in a row prior to that.  The Rockets are in a situation that favors them due to NBA trends this season as team that are playing on the road in conference games with this point spread after losing and going under in their previous game are 13-1 ATS.  Minnesota returns home after a win against a depleted Boston team and are playing in a situation that has gone 1-10 ATS in the NBA this season (favorites in division games after 2 overs).  Minnesota may have won 5 of their last 6, but their loss was to Golden State and their legit win was against Sacramento (other wins were against the Clipper, Wizards, and Suns).  The Timberwolves are just 3-6 ATS as home favorites this season and 1-4 ATS after 2 wins this season.  With Houston winning 7 of the last 10 meetings ATS, we like the points in this one.  Loss:  Houston looks horrid offensively and get's ran out of the building.

Last Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Miami/Philadelphia Under 170.5:  Miami is on riding a winning streak into Philadelphia as doge, where the under has won in 7 of Philadelphia's 10 games as home favorites.  Philadelphia will be Iverson-less for a while and Miami is very strong defensively so we don't expect the Sixer's to score much.  With out Iverson, you can bet that Philly is stressing defense in order to stay competitive.  Miami come in with one of the worst offenses in the league and has gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 games.  In the NBA this season, the under is 4-23 for teams playing as road dogs after winning ATS + going under at home in their previous game. (Miami's situation).  We like a low scoring contest in this one.  Win:  Total of 163 points scored in this low scoring affair as Miami manages just 76.

Last Thursday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Dallas/Minnesota Over 201:  Dallas enters tonight's game with Minnesota having averaged 106 points in their last 6 games.  The Mavericks have gone over in 13 of their last 14 games as road dogs of 2->3.5 points after losing ATS.  Meanwhile, Minnesota has gone over in 3 of their last 4 at home and in 7 of the 8 games they have played this season without Olowakandi.  In their last 13 games as conference favorites after winning both SU and ATS in 3 straight games,  the over has cashed in 12 times for Minnesota (over in all 3 against Dallas).  With a high powered Dallas offense and a Minnesota team that is playing well, we like this one to skyrocket past the 200 point mark.  Win:  Total in this game goes over by a whopping 20 points to bring home the TNT Dynamite win.

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New York/Toronto Under 181.5:  The Knicks meet the Raptors in Toronto in what should be another low scoring affair as these teams have played under the total in 5 straight meetings.  The Knicks have gone under the total in 4 of their last 5 games and the Raptors have gone under in 3 straight games.  Toronto, already with the lowest scoring average in the league, will have Vince Carter playing with a sore achillies.  Toronto has gone under in 6 of their 7 games after 3 under this season and the under is 8-3 in their home games this season.  In the NBA this season, teams that have gone under in 3 straight games and are playing in a game with a 6->75 point spread have gone under in 11 of the 13 games (Toronto's situation <contributed to one of these unders against Portland>).  Look for another low scoring contest tonight.  Loss:  Overtime game kills the chance of this being close.

Last Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New York (-6) over Atlanta:  The Knicks come into tonight's game losing a close one to Toronto in overtime last night and are 10-1 ATS in their last 10 after 2 losses (22-7 ATS since last season).  Playing at home the Knicks are 7-3 ATS.  Atlanta is playing horrible as they have lost 6 in a row ATS and are just 2-7 ATS in their last 9 as dogs and only 5-10 ATS in their last 15 on the road.  The Knicks are a much better team than Atlanta and with the Hawks sliding like they are, we think the Knicks should win easy tonight.  Last season New York won 3 of the 4 contests and should start the season series off with a win tonight.  Win:  The Knicks roll past Atlanta by 11 points.

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Orlando (+2) over Philadelphia:  The Orlando Magic, who started the season miserably, are now playing good basketball as they are 7-1 ATS in their 8 games.  The Sixers have been playing without Iverson for 5 games and have faired decently, but tonight may be a little different.  Orlando has owned the Sixers lately as they have won 9 of their last 11 meetings ATS.  To sway our opinion even more, the Magic have won 8 in a row ATS in Philly and 10 in a row as dog to the Sixers.  With a new found confidence and winning feeling, we like the Magic to pull off the upset against the Sixers who struggle as home favorites.  Loss: Orlando losses it's Magic touch in this loss to the Sixers.

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland (+2) over Dallas:  The Mavericks have been horrible on the road this season as they are just 1-11 ATS, including 0-9 ATS as road favorites.  Dallas is 1-15 ATS in their last 16 as road favorites after a loss (lossing 12 straight including 4 games this season) and 0-5 ATS after going over in 2 straight games this season.  Portland is playing at home tonight against a team that they have gone 11-1-1 ATS against in their last 13 meetings after losing 2 in a row ATS (winning 8 straight in a row).  Portland will be up for this game as they have in the past against a Dallas team that struggles on the road.  Win:  Portland wins this game straight up by 9 points evenly.

L.A. Clippers/San Antonio Under 177:  Both teams are coming off 2 road games and are playing in a conference game where the spread is 10->11.5.  This means that in the past 3 seasons in the NBA the under is 23-6-2 when teams are playing in this situation (Both teams are coming into this situation).  The Clippers over the past 3 seasons are in the situation of going under in 18 of their last 22 games playing as dogs of 10->11.5 after 2 games on the road.  The Spurs have gone under in 5 of their 6 games after 2 road games this season,  7 of their last 9 overall, and 17 of their last 20 meeting against the Clippers after winning 2 games.  Seven of the last 8 meetings between these two have gone under and we think that trend will continue tonight.  Loss:  San Antonio pours it on the pour Clippers defense in this one.

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

New Orleans (-9) over Atlanta:  Atlanta comes into tonight's game after a win at home against Boston.  This is bad news for them as they are 0-7 ATS this season after a win (0-10 after an ATS win) and 3-22 ATS since last season after a win.  The Hawks are also just 1-13 ATS since last season as dogs after going under at home.  Since last season in the NBA, teams playing as road dogs of 8->9.5 points in division games after a win ATS an going under are just 2-12-1 ATS.  With the Hornets looking to stay with the Pacers in the division, we think they will get on track tonight and avenge their first loss of the season which came at the hands of Atlanta.  We like a blowout tonight.  Win: Blow out win for the Hornets as they win by 30!

Memphis (-8) over New York:  The Memphis Grizzlies have been playing their best basketball ever this season.  They are 9-3 ATS at home this season (3-0 as 8->9.5 point favorites) and have won 5 in a row ATS at home (6 in a row S.U.).  Dating back to last season, the Grizzlies are now an incredible 15-0-1 ATS in non conference games after a road game (they are returning home after a road game).  The Knicks continue to struggle, especially on the road as they have lost 5 straight ATS.  Look for Gasol to have a huge game tonight as the Grizzlies should be able to cruise by the lowly Knicks.  Loss:  Knicks win as the Grizzlies look poor.

Game of the Week Milwaukee/Indiana Over 174.5:  Since last season in conference games where the home team is a (pk->1.5 dog), the over is 29-9 (including a game between these two last season in the same situation where the total was 205).  In the NBA since last season, teams playing on the road in a PK->1.5 conference game after a road game went over in 23 of the 30 games (Indiana's situation).  For Indiana the over is 4-2 as road favorites this season and for Milwaukee the over is 8-4 at home this season (2-0 after 2 wins).  Milwaukee has gone over in all 12 games playing as dogs after 2 wins since last season (2 of those against the Pacers). The over is 23-8-1 when a team is a home dog after a win this season in the NBA and 20-3 as home dog of pk->15 after a win since last season.  Eight of the last nine meetings between these two have gone over and tonight's game should be no different.  Win:  This game exceeds the total by 22.5 points for the big win!

Sacramento/Golden State Over 209:  In the NBA this season, the over is 13-1 when a team is a home dog after winning and going over in their previous game.  The Warriors come into that situation tonight as well as going over in 14 of their last 15 games at home against conference opponents (6-1 so far this season).  The Warriors have gone over in 4 of their last 5 and in all 5 games at home with a 4->5.5 point spread.  To top it off, for Golden State the over is 17-1 when playing at home in a conference game after a home game (dating back to last season).  The Kings get more offense back with Stojakovic returning and have scored over 100 points against the Warriors in their last 10 meetings.  We expect both teams to light up the scoreboard tonight.  Loss:  The Warriors score 32 in the first.  Both teams combine for 32 in the 4th.  Tough loss.

Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Detroit(-3.5) over Atlanta:  Detroit has been struggling of late, but we think they will get on track tonight against the lowly Hawks.  In the NBA this season, teams are 14-2 ATS on the road in 2->3.5 games after losing ATS and going under at home (the Pistons situation).  Also working in the Pistons favor, since last season teams playing as road favorites of (2->3.5) in conference games after losing and going under at home are 11-1 ATS.  What makes this trend powerful is that Detroit won twice in this situation last season, both games were in Atlanta.  In fact Detroit is 7-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Hawks and won by 5 there earlier this season.  Atlanta is just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games.  Detroit is 5-2 ATS on 0 days rest this season.  Pistons should break out tonight.  Loss:  Victimized by a .5 point loss as Atlanta hits a garbage 3.....  ughh. ***Some books had the line at 3 at gametime so you may have got it as a push***

10:00 pm est  Seattle (+3.5) over Minnesota:  Seattle has gone 17-5-1 ATS since last season in conference games after winning SU and ATS (4-0 ATS this season).  Seattle has gone 5-2 ATS in their last 7 and are 3-0 ATS this season with 3 or more days rest.  The Sonics have dominated the last 9 meetings between these two clubs as they are 7-1-1 ATS.  Minnesota lost a tough game in Portland last night and are playing as 2->3.5 road favorites after losing SU and ATS and going over in their previous game.( Teams are 3-15 ATS in that situation this season).  In the past two NBA seasons, teams are 5-23 ATS as road favorites after playing over in 2 straight road games and are 4-14 ATS as favorites in conference games after losing ATS and going over on the road in 2 straight games.  With Ray Allen looking sharp in his return, we like the Supersonics to win tonight.  Loss:  Minnesota pulls away in the 4th as Ray Allen has a poor night shooting.

Sunday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland/Cleveland Over 185.5:  Portland come into tonight's game going over in 8 of their last 9 games and in 3 straight on the road.  The over in Trailblazers games as favorites after 2 wins, has gone 15-5-2 since last season.  Cleveland has gone over in 7 of their last 10, 12 of their last 14 as home dogs in non conference games after an under, and in 14 of their last 15 non-conference games after losing ATS.  These powerful trends and the fact that last 3 meetings between these two have gone over and this is the lowest total posted as a line in the past 10 years.  We like a high scoring affair in tonight's contest.  Loss:  Portland plays miserably as the Cavs win easily.

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New York (+3.5) over Orlando:  The Knicks come into tonight's game playing as hot as they have all year, winning 4 in a row ATS, and have won 2 in a row S.U. on this road trip.  The Knicks are 11-2-1 ATS this season after an over and are 14-1 ATS in their last 15 games as dogs after 2 overs.  To sway the tide the Knicks way more, they are 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games as road dogs against a division opponent (3 wins in Orlando).  Orlando has cooled off a bit since a nice winning streak and 0-5 ATS this season as home favorites of 2->3.5 points.  With the Knicks winning both meetings ATS this season so far and 6 of the last 8, we like the Knicks to play the upset roll tonight.  Win:  Knicks topple the Magic by 28 points in a blowout win!

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Minnesota (-12.5) over Chicago:  The Timberwolves come into tonight's contest going 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games, while the Bulls come into tonight struggling going 1-8 ATS.  Chicago will be playing their 4th game in 5 nights and are playing against a Western conference opponent which doesn't bode well for them as they have lost 17 SU games vs. the west.  Minnesota is 14-1 ATS in their last 15 non-conference games after winning and going under in their previous game (2 of those vs. the Bulls).  Minnesota is 9-2 ATS against the Bulls in their last 11 meetings, including 3-1 ATS at home where they have won by and average of 24.5 points.  We like a blowout tonight.  Loss:  Minnesota's lackluster 2nd Quarter blows 20 point lead.

Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Denver (+3) over L.A. Clippers:  The Nuggets travel to L.A. to play a Clippers team that is playing in their 4th straight game at home having lost their first 3 ATS (2 of them SU against Phoenix and Toronto).  L.A. is just 2-12 ATS in their last 14 conference games with a 2->3.5 point spread after a loss ATS.  Denver has gone 13-1 ATS in their last 14 games as dogs in conference games after going under in their previous 2 games and are 8-3 playing after an ATS loss this season.  In the NBA the past 2 seasons, teams are 21-6-2 ATS on the road in 2->3.5 point games in conference after losing + losing ATS + going under at home.  Denver should come out strong after a loss at home last night and beat the Clippers just like they did at the end of November in L.A. by 12 points.  Loss:  Denver tires out of a close game at the end.

Past Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Game of the Week New Orleans (+2) over Toronto:  The Hornets owned the Raptors last season winning all 4 meetings straight up and ATS with their lowest margin of victory being 9 points.  The Raptor are an improved team this season, but so are the Hornets.  Toronto is just 4-19-1 ATS in their last 24 games at home after a win ATS (1-5-1 this season) and are 2-14-1 ATS since last season at home vs. conference opponents after an under.  The Hornets are playing in a spot where in the past 2 NBA seasons, teams are 21-5 ATS as road dogs of 2->3.5 in conference games after 2 road games.  With the Hornets being 7-3 ATS as road dogs this season and the Raptors being 3-6-1 as home favorites this season, we like the Hornets to win tonight.  Win:  The Hornets win outright easily in this contest.

Golden State/Washington Over 181:  The Warriors come into Washington having gone under in 4 straight games and teams in the NBA over recent years have gone over in 11 of the 13 games played vs. non-conference opponents in (PK->1.5) games after 4 unders.  In that same time span teams have gone over in 10 of 11 as road dogs of PK->1.5 after 2 losses ATS + Under in their previous 2 games (Golden States situation tonight).  Golden State has gone over in 14 of their last 18 on the road vs. the East after losing ATS on the road (2 of those overs in Washington).  Washington has lost 4 straight ATS and has gone over in 9 straight games after that 4th loss.  Eight of the last 10 meetings have gone over with this total being the lowest in the last 9.  We like the chance of this one going high tonight.  Loss:  This one goes under by just 4 points.

Seattle (+5) over L.A. Lakers:  Seattle has gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 games against the Lakers (4-1 in their last 5) winning both games at home last season.  Teams in the NBA this season are 15-3 ATS as home dogs of 4->5.5 in conference games.  The Lakers are struggling going just 1-8 ATS in their last 9 games and are 2-15 ATS in their last 17 games on the road in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread (2 of those the losses to Seattle last season).  Seattle is 3-1 SU after the return of Ray Allen (4-1 ATS in their last 5) and are 4-0 ATS this season in division games this season after winning ATS.  With Malone out and Shaq being questionable for this game with a sore back, we like the Supersonics to keep it close tonight.  Win:  Seattle wins this one outright over the Lakers!

Past Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Golden State/Detroit Under 177:  The Warriors come into Detroit playing their third game in four night and are on a long road trip where they have now gone under the total in 5 straight games.  In the NBA this season, teams playing in non-conference games with a 6->7.5 spread after losing SU + ATS and going under in their previous game, have gone under in 13 of 15 their next game (Warriors situation).  Detroit has gone under in 15 of their last 18 overall and have the 4th best defense in a league.  When Detroit is playing after a win ATS and under in their previous game, the under is 7-0-1 in their last 8 at home and 11-0-1 in their last 12 as favorites.   Loss:  Warriors break out of their shell as this one goes over.

8:00 pm est  New Orleans/Indiana Under 175.5:  These two teams have gone under the total in 9 of their last 10 meetings (7 straight) combining for totals of 151, 152, and 155 in their last 3.  Indiana has gone under in all 5 games (12-0-1 in their last 13) playing at home after going over.  New Orleans is playing in the situation of road dog after winning and going under in 2 straight games, and teams in that situation this season in the NBA have gone under in their next game 12 of 13 times.  The under for the Hornets is 4-0-1 on the road after a win ATS on the road this season and 7-2 after 2 unders.  For Indiana, they have gone under in 7 of their 9 games this season after 2 wins.  Win:  Almost a loss as this goes under by .5 a point.

Last Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Chicago (-1.5) over Phoenix:  The Suns are just 6-14 ATS in their last 20 games overall and come into tonight with a short bench and without Marbury who they just traded to the Knicks.  Chicago has won 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two teams and will feel right at home against a short-handed Suns team.  Phoenix will be playing their 3rd game in 4 night's amidst a five game road trip where they have lost their last two straight up and ATS.  The Bulls should be able to take control of this game in the second half.  Win:  The Bulls lead the whole game and cover against the Suns.

Utah (+4) over Dallas:  The Mavericks may be in for a let down as they won an important game against Minnesota at home, but are now on the road as favorites where they are 0-11 ATS this season.  Dallas is also just 1-7 ATS this season after going over in their previous game.  Utah is a nice 7-3 ATS at home this season and are 14-5 ATS on 1 days rest.  The Jazz have won their last 5 playing as home dogs after a road game.  In the NBA this season, teams are 11-1 ATS as dogs in division games after 2 road games (Utah's situation tonight).  Look for the Jazz to upset in this situation.  Win:  The Jazz win this one outright easily at home.

Last Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Sacramento (-14) over Atlanta:  The Kings are the NBA's best team and are playing host to the Hawks who are the second worst team.  The Kings are coming off a 130 point performance against Seattle where they won ATS and SU.  This is significant because the Kings are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games as home favorites against the Eastern conference after a win ATS.  Atlanta is coming off an upset win in Denver and are 1-12 in their last 13 after an ATS win.  Since last season, the Hawks are 3-21 ATS as road dogs after a win and 1-13 ATS as dogs after winning SU and ATS.  This is Atlanta's 4th straight game on the road they are 3-9 ATS on the road in their last 12 and 0-10 ATS in their last 10 against the Western Conference after winning SU and ATS.  We like the Kings to cruise tonight.  Win:  Kings stay in control of this contest from the start and win by 16.

Last Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Cleveland (+6.5) over Toronto:  The Cavs come into town with an unimpressive road record, but know they can win against Toronto as they have gone 4-1 ATS against the Raptors in the past 2 seasons (2-0 ATS at Toronto).  The Cavs will be looking for revenge since losing to Toronto earlier this season in Cleveland.  Cleveland has gone over in 3 straight and in the NBA this season, teams are 14-1 ATS as dogs in division games after 3 overs.  Toronto is coming off a win ATS + under and are just 1-12-1 ATS in their last 14 games at home after that situation.  Cavs should keep it close tonight.  Win:  Cavs play ugly enough to keep up with the ugly play of the Raptors.

Houston/Detroit Under 161:  These are 2 of the best defenses in the league, so the under is low for a good reason.  Houston has gone under in 4 straight games and in 9 of their 10 games as road dogs this season.  In the NBA this season, the under is 12-1-1 when a team is playing as road dogs after winning + going under in 2 straight games and 15-2 when teams are on the road against non-conference opponents after 3 wins (Houston's situation).  Detroit has gone under in 3 of their last 4 and 9 of their last 12.  For Detroit, the under is 10-1-1 since last season after winning ATS+under.  We expect an extremely low scoring game tonight.  Win:  Total goes under by 10 as these teams combine for just 151 points.

Last Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week   Sacramento/Phoenix Over 200:  The Kings are coming off their second game going under in a row and have gone over in 5 of 6 games in that situation this season.  Tonight should be no different for the Kings who have gone over in 14 of their last 15 since last season in conference games after 2 unders.  Phoenix has gone over in 4 of their last 5 at home and in all 4 games as home dogs this season.  In the NBA this season, teams have gone over in 15 of the 17 games playing as home dogs in conference games after 2 unders (Phoenix's situation - went over against the Lakers in this spot earlier this season).  Look for the scoreboard to light up in this one as the Suns will try to keep up with the fast paced Kings.  Win:  This one eclipses the total easily for our sixth Top Notch Pick win in a row!

Last Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Philadelphia/Washington Over 176.5:  The Wizards and Sixer meet in a spot where Philadelphia is the favorite in Washington by 3 points.  The Sixers have gone over the total in 14 straight games as road favorites dating back to last season (one of those vs. Washington), including all 5 this season as road favorites.  In the NBA this season, teams playing as road favorites in conference games after winning and going over in their previous game have gone over in 16 of the 20 games.  Washington has been going under of late, but meet with the Sixers whom they have gone over with in 6 of their last 7 meetings, including a contest earlier this season where the teams combined for 217.  With this being the lowest total for a game between these two in the last 6 meetings, we will take the over tonight.  Win:  Hughes for the Wizards puts up 46 as this goes over the total by 5.

Previous Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick: Monday Madness Now 15-2!

Memphis/Golden State Over 197.5:  The Warriors have started to come back around offensively as of late as they have gone over in 3 of their last 4.  For Golden State, the over is 7-1 in their last 8 conference games at home, 11-1 in their last 12 conference games at home after a home game, and 10-2 in their last 12 games at home after going over in the previous game.  Memphis has scored over 100 points in 4 straight games and have gone over the total in 9 of their last 10 contests.  Despite the total going under in 7 of their last 10 meetings, this is the lowest total line posted in the past 5 meetings.  Look for a big night of scoring in this contest.  Win:  This one surpasses 200 as these teams light up another Top Notch Pick win, making Monday Madness is now 15-2!

Previous Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

7:30 pm est  San Antonio/Atlanta Under 172:  The Spurs come into this contest having gone under in 5 of their last 7 road games.  On the heals of 4 straight wins, the Spurs have gone under in their next game in 8 of the 10 times playing in that situation this season.  Atlanta comes into tonight's contest having gone under in 11 of their last 13 overall.  This is most likely due to lack of scoring at the offensive end.  It won't get any easier against the defensive minded Spurs, but we expect a solid defensive effort by the Hawk tonight as they seek revenge for their embarrasing loss at S. Antonio earlier this season.  In the NBA this season, the under has gone 14-1 for teams playing as 8->9.5 point dogs after 2 unders and 12-1 for teams playing in non-conference games with an 8->9.5 point spread after losing ATS and going under on the road (Atlanta's situation).  Win:  Total goes to just 163 as Atlanta pulls off the upset win.

Previous Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Indiana (-13.5) over Atlanta:  The Atlanta Hawks won their biggest game of the season last night against the Spurs.  This is a good sign that they will lose big tonight as they are 1-13 ATS this season after a win ATS, 4-15 ATS after an under, and 2-10 ATS in their last 12 on the road.  In fact since last season, Atlanta is 3-25 ATS as dogs after winning their previous game (0-10 ATS this season).  In the NBA the past two season, teams are 4-15 ATS as road dogs of 12->13.5 after a win.  The Pacers have had 3 days rest since a close loss to the Spurs and are 9-1 ATS this season with 2 or more days rest.  The Pacers are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 overall, 7-2 ATS in their last 9 as favorites in conference games after 2 wins ATS, and have won both games ATS against Atlanta this season.  We like the Pacers to pull away in the second half.  Loss:  Indiana wins by 7, but not enough to cover as they have a tough night of shooting.

Previous Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  L.A. Lakers/Sacramento Over 197.5:  The Lakers come into Sacramento to play against their arch rival where the over has gone 6-1-1 in their last 8 meetings.  The line on this game is 13.5 and both teams have gone under in their previous game.  In that situation the past two seasons, the total has gone over in 18 of the last 23 games being played by teams facing division foes.  The Lakers have gone over in 18 of their last 21 games the past 2 seasons playing against a division opponent after a win.  With the Lakers going over in 11 of their 15 games on the road this season and Sacramento have the over post a 7-1-1 mark in their last 10 after a win.  Should be a high scoring one tonight in Sac town.  Loss:  L.A. can't keep any scoring threat and the King played unmotivated half of the game.

Previous Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Utah (-7) over Cleveland:  The Utah Jazz are playing at home against a Cavs team that has lost their last 12 games at Utah.  The Jazz are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings ATS at home against the road weary Cavs and are a nice 17-3 SU at home this season (15-5 ATS, 9-3 ATS as favorites, including 4-0 as favorites of 6->7.5).  Cleveland is on the last game of a long 6 game road trip and  have not fare well on the road the past 2 seasons.  This is the fourth game in a row at home for Utah as they have beat up on lesser teams in those 3 games (Golden St., Atlanta, Miami) winning by an average of 16 points.  With the Cavs being 2-9 ATS as dogs after a loss on the road this season, we like the Jazz to win big tonight.  Loss:  Utah blows 20 point lead in route to losing the game in overtime.

Previous Sunday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Miami/Denver Under 186:  Miami is on a long road trip and playing good basketball defensively as they have gone under in 10 of their last 13 on the road and in 3 of their last 4 overall.  Denver has gone under in 3 straight game and in 5 of their last 7 at home.  The teams tend to play under the total when they meet with the under winning in 7 of their last 10 meetings.  With this total being the highest line on their meetings in their last 6, we think we have an easy play here.  In the NBA the past 2 season, teams playing as home favorites of 8->9.5 points in non-conference games after 2 losses ATS have gone under in 17 of 20 of those games.  Win:  These teams combine for just 166 points to go well under the total by 20 points!

Last Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick: Monday Madness Now 15-3

New Orleans/Minnesota Under 182.5:  Both of these teams have been struggling from the field of late as the Timberwolves have gone under in 5 of their last 6 games and the Hornets have gone under in 4 straight.  One of those under for both teams was a contest last week in New Orleans that went under, making the under 6-2 in the last 8 contests.  In the NBA the past 2 seasons, teams have gone under in 15 of the 16 games played as 8->9.5 point dogs after 2 unders (New Orleans situation tonight).  Both teams are coming in after a loss ATS and an under in their previous game and teams this season have gone under in 18 of the 21 non-conference in that situation in games with a point spread of 8->9.5.  We like a low scoring battle tonight.  Loss:  This one goes over the total by just 4.5 points in a game with some controversial calls at the end.

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit/Indiana Under 168.5:  These are two of the best defensive teams in the league, ranking 3rd and 4th in points allowed.  With both teams playing last night, field goal percentage may slack tonight.  Seven of the last nine meetings between these two have played under as well as 6 of the last 7 in Indiana.  Detroit has played under the total in 8 of their last 11 on the road and in 8 of their last 9 as dogs to Indiana.  For the Pacers, the under is 13-0-1 in their last 14 games at home after an over (6-0-1 this season) and 8-3 this season after winning 4 in a row.  Expect a low scoring dog fight between these two powers of the east tonight.  Win:  This one goes under by plenty as these two defensive minded teams score just 150 points combined.

Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New Jersey/San Antonio Under 167.5:  In this rematch of last years finals, these two team have a knack for going under.  The under has won in 9 of their last 10 meetings and in 6 straight, including an earlier contest between these two this season where the final total was just 156.  New Jersey has gone over in 2 straight, but the under is 4-1 in the next game the Nets have played afterwards.  The Spurs have gone under in 13 of 20 home games this season and in the NBA this season, teams playing in non-conference games with a 6->7.5 point spread after losing + losing ATS+ going over in their previous game have gone under in 17 of the 20 occurences this season.  Expect a defensive struggle here.  Loss:  Nets held to 76 points, but Spurs put up 99.

Thursday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Golden State/Seattle Over 201.5:  These two teams have had a knack for going over in recent contests as the Warriors have gone over in 8 of their last 10 and the Sonics have gone over in 3 of their last 4 at home.  Seattle has gone over in 7 of their last 9 games as favorites and have the 4th best scoring offense in the league.  In games where the total line was set from 200-204.5, the Sonics have gone over the total in all 5 of their contests this season.  The last 2 meetings between these two have gone over, including an earlier meeting this season where the total was 223.  In the NBA this season, the over has gone 21-7-1 when a team is playing at home in a division game after losing + losing ATS + going over.  (Seattle's situation).  With the Warriors liking to run and the Sonics looking for a solid game, we like the scoring to go high in this one.  Loss:  The Warriors shoot poorly through three quarters as this one finishes under the total.

Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  Dallas (-6.5) over Chicago:  These two teams are headed in opposite directions coming into this matchup.  The Mavs have won 4 in a row ATS and 5 of their last 6.  The Bulls have lost 5 in a row S.U. and ATS.  With Dallas playing as hot as they are and going up against a team they have beat in 9 of their last 10 meetings ATS,  we think a blowout is likely tonight.  In the NBA this seasons, teams in Chicago's situation, have gone 3-15 ATS as dogs in non-conference games after 5 losses.  Expect a solid effort again from the Mavericks as they continue to play their best basketball of the season and the Bulls are playing their worst.  Win:  Dallas takes control in the second quarter and never gives up the lead as they win by 13.

Saturday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Seattle (-7.5) over L.A. Clippers:  The Clipper's will be playing away from the Staples center for the first time in 8 games as they had 4 home games, then a road vs. the Lakers (in same arena), and then 3 more home games.  This season, teams in the NBA are 12-30-2 ATS as road dogs after 3 home games, with the Clipper's going 0-3 and losing by an average of over 16 points in those games.  The Clippers are just 3-7 ATS in their last 10, including a home win against Utah last night, but are 1-4 ATS this season on the road after a win at home.  Seattle is 7-3 ATS in the last 10 meetings, including both games this season by 9 and 19 points (those were without Ray Allen).  Seattle is 42-4 SU vs the Clippers in Key Arena and have won 5 straight ATS against the Clippers after an LA win at home.  With the Clippers already labeling this trip as a "trip to hell", we like the Sonics big tonight.  Loss:  Sonic win by just 5 due to 3 3-pointers in the final 1:48 by the Clippers.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Dallas (-1) over Sacramento:  In inter-conference games this season in the NBA, the team that is favored when the line comes out as PK->1.5 is 22-10.  Dallas sits in this position today as they have won 7 straight games, going 6-1 ATS in that time span.  On the other hand, Sacramento is in the midst of a 6 game road trip of which they have lost their first 2 ATS.  The Kings have lost 3 in a row ATS and will be playing their  5th game in the last 7 days.  We expect the Kings to show some tiredness as they are playing an early afternoon game.  Dallas is 5-2 in the last 7 meetings between these two teams and we expect that mark to improve today.  The Mavs are playing their best basketball of the season and should be able to win easy today.   Win:  Dallas wins by nine as they close out the game big over the tired Kings.

 Portland/Washington Over 185:  The Trailblazers come into Washington having gone over in 5 of their last 6 games.  In NBA this season, teams in Portland's position of being in a road game with a PK->1.5 line after losing ATS at home have gone over in 14 of the 17 games.  For Washington, the over is 6-2-2 in their last 10 and 9-2 since 1999 versus western conference opponents after winning + winning ATS + going over at home (6-1 when playing at home).  In the past two NBA seasons, the over has gone 17-3 when teams play as home dogs of PK->1.5 after winning ATS at home and 23-8 as home dogs in non-conference games after a win and an over (Washington's situation, including a game against the Trailblazers last season).  The past 3 meetings in Washington have gone over and we think tonight will be the fourth.  Loss:  Huge scoring 1st quarter isn't enough as Portland eases on the gas in the second half as this goes under by 8.

Monday Night's NBA Top Notch Picks: Monday Madness Now 16-4

Milwaukee (+3.5) over San Antonio:  The Spurs appear to be a tired team as this will be their third game in 4 days and their 9th game in the last 13 days (2-6 ATS in that span).  In fact the Spurs are 2-7 ATS in their last 9 overall and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on the road.  Milwaukee will be playing on 2 days rest (7-3 ATS this season) and at home for their third game in a row where they are 13-7-1 this season (3-0 as home dogs this season).  Milwaukee has been playing good basketball as they are 11-5-1 ATS in their last 17 games and are 7-2-1 ATS in the last 10 meetings between the two teams.  Milwaukee will be looking to avenge an earlier loss to the Spurs this season and should play it close if not win tonight.  Win:  The Bucks win outright by a point as the dog upsets the favorite!

Tuesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Seattle (+2) over Dallas:  The Mavericks come into the game tonight as road favorite playing in a conference game.  This does not bode well for Dallas as they have dropped 14 straight ATS in that situation.  Dallas is just 3-7 ATS on the road this season against above .500 teams.  Dallas has won 6 in a row SU and ATS, but teams in the NBA playing as 2->3.5 point road favorites in that situation since 1990 are a miserable 1-9 ATS.  Seattle will be playing their 3rd straight at home and are 5-1  in their last 6 games at home.  Seattle has won 3 straight meetings ATS against the Mavs and should keep it very close or pull off the upset tonight.  Push:  Seattle losses by two to push the spread.

 

Wednesday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Phoenix/Indiana Under 181:  The Pacers have struggled of late, but return home with plenty of rest and practice with Coach Carlisle emphasizing better defense.  For Indiana the under has gone 14-0-2 in their last 16 games at home after playing over the total in their previous game.  For Indiana, Artest has an ailing thumb injury that has caused him to shoot just 32% in the 4 games he has played since injuring it.  Phoenix is playing in their 3rd game in 4 days after a long contest in Atlanta last night where their starters put in key minutes.  With the Suns bench beat up and fatigue being a factor, the shooting should struggle tonight for the Suns.  The Suns have gone under in 5 of their last 6 overall and the under has occured in 5 of the last 7 meetings between these two teams.  Win:  Total just get's by with 180, but we were due for a close one.

Philadelphia (+7.5) over Toronto:  The Sixer's come into tonight's contest is need of a win after losing 3 in a row (3-0 ATS after 3 losses this season).  This looks like a good spot to do it as they have gone 3-1 ATS in their last 4 meetings with Toronto (including a 6 point S.U. win at Toronto earlier this season as dogs of 7 points, this game was after the Sixers had lost 2 in a row).  Philadelphia is 4-1 ATS this season as road dogs of 6->7.5 points, while Toronto is 0-4-1 ATS as home favorites of 6->7.5 points.  The Raptors are 1-8-1 ATS in their last 10 at home against conference opponents and have lost 5 in a row ATS overall.  In the NBA the past two seasons, teams playing as home favorites in conference after 4 losses ATS are just 12-26-2 ATS.  Look for a strong effort by the Sixers tonight.  Loss:  Sixers hang around all game and end up losing by 10.

Portland/Memphis Under 194:  Portland is on a 3 game road trip that started out with a game that went under in Washington and the under is now 5-2 in their last 7 on the road.  Memphis has played under the total in 5 straight games amidst playing excellent basketball of late.  In the NBA this season, the under is 15-3 in 8->9.5 point games after a team has gone under in their 3 previous games and in the NBA the past 2 seasons, teams have gone under in 31 of the 44 games after playing at home and going under in their 3 previous games (Memphis is in both of these situations tonight).  With the under going 5-0-1 their last 6 meetings (including 2 times already this season) and this being the highest total posted as a line in the last 10 meetings, we expect this one to go well below the total tonight.  Win:  Our strongest play of the night with the total going under by a whopping 30 points!

Thursday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

 Thursday Night TNT Dynamite Pick   New Jersey/Orlando Over 190.5:  The Magic have had a knack for going over of late as the over is 6-1-1 in their last 8 overall, including 4-0-1 in their last 5.  Orlando has gone over in all 3 games this season at home after going over on the road and have gone over in their last 3 games at home making the over 14-2 in their last 16 in Orlando.  In the NBA this season, the over is 27-13 for teams playing as home dogs after an over on the road (Orlando's situation).  The Nets looked rejuvenated with their new coach and have gone over in 4 of their last 6 on the road and in 5 of their last 6 games overall.  With this being the lowest total in the last 9 meetings between these two and T-Mac playing on fire, we like this one to go above the total tonight.  Loss:  Orlando lays and egg and this game fall under easily.

Friday Night's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week   Cleveland/Milwaukee Over 191:  The Cavs and Bucks are both playing their best ball of the season, and it is due to some hot offense.  Milwaukee has gone over in 6 straight games and the Cavs have gone over in 3 straight (7 of their last 8).  Cleveland has gone over in 9 straight games after playing 2 games at home and the over is 18-7 in their last 25 overall.  In the NBA the past 2 seasons when the spread is 6->7.5 and a team is coming off of 3 wins ATS like the Bucks are, the over has gone 20-3 in division games and 18-3-2 at home in conference games.  This is the first meeting between the two teams this season, but the over is 6-3 the last 9 meetings, including 3-1 last season when one of the games totaled out at 273 points.  With this being the second lowest total line posted in the last 10 meetings and these teams shooting as well as they are, we like the total to go over easily in this one.  Win:  Total of 196 is good enough to make this seasons "Game of the Week" Top Notch picks 7-3!

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New Jersey (-5) over Houston:  The Nets have now started to make a nice run here since the firing of Scott.  New Jersey is focused and playing some of their best basketball of the season at this time as they have won 3 in a row ATS.  The Nets are 5-2 ATS in the last 7 meetings between these two, with Houston winning the earlier meeting S.U. in N.J.   Expect the Nets to try and extract a little revenge on the Rocket tonight.  The Rockets have lost two in a row ATS and are facing an inflated line with their two all-star starter announcements and the Super Bowl being in town this weekend.  We expect the Nets to compete tough in this contest if not win it outright.  Win:  Net's win outright pulling off the upset with an 11 point win!

Monday's NBA Top Notch Picks:   Monday Madness Now 16-6

Golden St./Memphis Under 193.5:  These two teams have had a knack for going over the total the past few seasons, but are in a situation tonight night where we believe the line is inflated way too much due to this.  Memphis has gone under the total in their last 8 games.  In the NBA this season, teams have gone under in 16 of the 18 games when playing as 6->7.5 point favorites after going under in 3 straight (Memphis has gone under in all 3 of their games in this spot).  Golden State, who is playing without their second leading scorer in Dunleavy, have gone under in 3 of their last 4.  In the NBA this seasons, the under is 13-1-2 when teams are playing as road dogs after winning  + winning ATS + going under in 2 straight games (the Warriors situation tonight).  With 3 of the last 4 meetings going under, we expect this game to make it 4 of 5.  Loss:  Teams go above 200 to put this one over the total.

Chicago/Seattle Under 200:  This total line is the highest posted for a meeting between these two teams in the last 10 meetings.  This seems odd because of the fact that 6 of their last 9 meetings have gone under the spread.  In the NBA this season, teams have gone under in 15 of the 17 contests when a team is playing as home favorites of 8->9.5 points after 2 losses ATS (Seattle's situation tonight).  In the past 2 NBA seasons, teams playing as 8->9.5 point favorites in non-conference games after 2 losses ATS have made the under 21-2-1 (once again Seattle's position).  With Seattle going under in 6 of their last 9 games and Chicago amidst a long road trip, we like both teams to struggle scoring an absurd amount of points tonight.  Loss:  Chicago does their part, but can't stop the Sonics from scoring over 100.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Cleveland (+8) over Detroit:  The Cavs come into tonight's contest playing their best basketball of the season as they have gone 6-2 SU in their last 8 games (5-2-1 ATS).  Cleveland has been a much improved team on the road as of late as they are 3-1-1 in their last 5.  Detroit has won 4 in a row SU, but has only won by an average of 2 point in those contests to make the just 1-5-1 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  Fatigue should be a factor for Detroit tonight as they are playing their 4th game in 5 nights after a long trip back home after an overtime game in Miami last night.  Cleveland has played the Piston's tough the past few years as they are 6-1 ATS in their meetings, including 2-0 this season.  We like the Cavs to keep it close tonight if not pull off the upset.  Win:  Cavs pull off the upset as they win outright by 3 in Detroit!

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Orlando/Toronto Over 185.5:  The Orlando Magic have been a team that has gone over in a good amount of games this season and are in the spot to go over again tonight.  For the Magic, the over is 7-1-1 in their last 9 overall, 9-1-1 in their last 11 after 3 losses ATS, 15-1-2 in their last 18 after an ATS loss, and 7-1 in their last 8 as road dogs after 2 losses.  In the NBA this season, the over is 14-2-1 for teams that are playing as 4->5.5 point dogs in conference games after losing ATS on the road (Orlando's situation).  The Raptor's have gone over in 4 of their last 6 meetings with the Magic, including their last contest earlier this season where they combined for 197 points.  With the over for Toronto going 5-1-1 in their last 7 games, we like the prospect of this one eclipsing the line.  Win: The total goes to 200 on this one as the Raptors blow out the Magic.

Thursday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

L.A. Lakers (+3) over Philadelphia:  The Lakers find themselves in an unfamiliar situation in tonight's games.  In the past 3 years they have never been road dogs to an Eastern conference team after winning + winning ATS on the road.  Although they haven't been dogs, in that situation they are 6-1 s.u. playing as favorites.  Tonight they are dogs to a struggling Philadelphia team that has gone 2-8 s.u. in their last 10 games (3-7 ATS).  Philadelphia has been a poor home favorite the past few years and have lost 4 in a row ATS in that situation.  L.A. is 5-1 ATS as 2->3.5 point road dogs in their last 6 in that situation after 2 road games.  With the frontcourt of Philadelphia banged up bad and Shaq looking to score 50, we don't see how the Sixers can answer that threat tonight.  Payton should be able to shut down A.I. enough to get the win for the Lakers.  Oh yeah, the Lakers are 6-1 ATS in the last 7 meetings between the two teams.  Loss:  Lakers battle refs early and Payton get ejected, no help for Shaq and no D on Iverson thereafter.

Friday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Atlanta/Boston Under 191.5:  The Celtic's have struggled lately with their head coach resigning from his positon.  They have gone 0-5 since that time and have gone under in two straight games at home.  They will play host to the Hawks who have the 26th ranked offense in the NBA and have gone under in 4 of their last 5 games.  In the NBA this season, teams that are playing as 4->5.5 point road dogs after a win ATS and an under at home, have gone under in 12 of the 13 games. (Atlanta's situation).  Also in the NBA this season, teams playing in Boston's position of being at home where the line is at 6->7.5, the under is 17-3-1 (with the Celtic's a perfect 3-0.)  The last two meetings between these two have gone under an we expect this game will as well.  Loss:  This one goes over by just 4.5 points.

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Boston (+6.5) over Philadelphia:  The Celtic's come into town looking to get off a losing streak and should have a good opportunity tonight to do so as the Sixers may have a letdown after their win against the Lakers.  Boston is 4-1-1 ATS in their last 6 games in Philadelphia.  The Celtics are 10-1 ATS in their last 11 games on the road after going over in their previous game at home (3 times last month in that situation they won outright).  The Sixers are 1-8 ATS in their last 9 as home favorites after a win S.U. and ATS and just 1-13-1 ATS in their last 14 games (losing 8 straight) in home games with a point spread greater than 4.  Look for the Celtics to put forth a good effort tonight.  Win:  Boston blows out the Sixer's by a whopping 30 points!

Game of the Week Washington/Cleveland Over 195.5:  The Cavs come into tonight's game having gone over in 9 of their last 11 games and in 7 of their last 8 games at home.  Washington come into the game having gone over in 5 straight games with each of them totaling more than 200.  Both meetings between the two teams this season have gone over easily (making it 4 meetings in a row) and both were played by the Cav's after they went over on the road in their previous game.  The Wizards have gone over in all 5 games since 2001 as road dogs after playing 4 consecutive home games.  We like this one to clear 200 and bring home a Top Notch Pick win.  Loss:  This one goes under by just 1.5 points, another really close loss.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Seattle (+7) over Portland:  Seattle comes into today's contest with out Ray Allen, but have played half of the season already without him, and played well at that.  In the NBA the past 2 seasons, teams are 24-11 ATS on the road in division games with a 6->7.5 point spread after a road game (Seattle's situation).  The Sonics are 3-1 this season so far as road dogs of 6->7.5 and have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 meetings against Portland and have won 3 in a row ATS in Portland.  Portland is 1-13 ATS in their last 14 games as favorites in conference games after a road game.  In the NBA this season, teams are 1-13 ATS as home favorites of 6->7.5 in conference games after 2 wins ATS.  We expect a close contest in this game between these two rivals.  Loss:  Seattle in it in the fourth, falters down the stretch and losses by just 10.

 

 

Friday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Atlanta (-4) over Orlando:  There is no telling how bad the Magic are by they are playing their worst basketball as hard as it is to believe.  This is opposite of Atlanta, who may be playing their best ball of the season.  The Hawks are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 after losing and going over at home.  Atlanta has won 5 straight ATS in conference after losing ATS at home and have won 4 in a row ATS overall.  Orlando has dropped 7 in a row ATS and all 11 games this season without Tracy McGrady.  The Magic are 1-16 ATS this season at home after a home game, 0-7 ATS after 2 home games, and 0-13 ATS at home after losing ATS at home.  Atlanta is playing for pride and the Magic are playing for ping-pong balls.  Win:  Atlanta erases a 21 point deficit to win by 8 points outright.

Toronto (+9.5) over Indiana:  The Pacers clinched home advantage in the East the other night against the Bucks and may be in for a let down tonight.  Indiana has lost 6 straight ATS as favorites in conference games after winning + going under, 6 straight ATS as favorites in the division after winning ATS + going under at home, and 9 straight ATS as favorites in a division game after winning and going under.  Toronto is in a must win situation for any chance at making the playoffs so we expect a strong effort tonight.  The Raptors have gone 8-1 ATS on the road after 2 home games this season.  Teams in the NBA this season have gone 11-2 ATS as road dogs in the division after losing and going under in 2 straight games. (Toronto's situation).  Loss:  Toronto hangs around and then collapses in the 4th.

Game of the Week   San Antonio/Utah  Under 169.5  There are many trend in this one that point to the under.  To start, the last 6 meetings between these two have under and the last 6 meetings when S.A. was favored by 4->5.5 have gone under.  For the Jazz, the under is 10-0 when playing at home in conference after a win ATS, 7-0 at home in division games after a win ATS + U, and 6-0 in their last 6 games overall.  For the Spurs, the Under is 11-1 as favorites in conference after a home game this season and 7-0 as road favorites of 4->5.5 in a division game.  In the NBA over the last month, the under has gone 7-0 when a team plays as conference favorite of 4->5.5 points after winning 4 straight games.  (Spur's situation).  We expect a slow paced defensive battle and for this one to fall short of the total.  Loss:  This one just sneaks over the total as the final score is 94-81.

Thursday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Portland (-2.5) over Philadelphia:  The Trailblazers are coming of a convincing win over the Celtics and will be focused on a Sixers team that will come down to earth in this game.  This season in the NBA, teams are 10-1 ATS as 2->3.5 point favorites in non-conference games after winning ATS and going over on the road (Portland's situation).  Portland is 6-0 ATS the past 2 seasons in 2->3.5 point games after winning + going over on the road.  This past month in the NBA, teams are 12-2 ATS as road favorites after 2 road games and 6-0 ATS as road favorites of 2->3.5 points in non-conference games after winning and going over. (Portland's in these situations).  The Sixers have lost 7 straight non-conference games ATS at home after winning SU + ATS + going under.  In the NBA this past month, teams are 0-6 ATS as 2->3.5 point dogs after winning + over on the road.  Win:  The Blazers control most of this one and win by 8.

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Miami (-5) over Atlanta:  The Miami Heat continue their red hot play in Atlanta tonight as Lamar Odom returns to the lineup.  Miami has gone 9-0 ATS this season as favorites against conference opponents after a home game and are 6-0 ATS in the last month as favorites in conference games after a win.  In the last month in the NBA, teams are 7-1 ATS as 4->5.5 point favorites after winning and going over.  The Heat have gone 19-4 ATS this season as favorites and are 9-3-1 ATS in their last 13 games overall.  Atlanta is coming off a heartbreaking loss to Memphis and are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games as dogs after winning ATS.  The Hawks have managed just 1 win ATS over the Heat in their last 8 meetings and we don't see them getting one tonight either.  Loss:  Miami just misses as they win by 3 points.

8:30 pm est  Sacramento/San Antonio Under 192:  The Kings come into tonight's contest having gone under in 13 of their last 17 games after a loss ATS.  Over the last month in the NBA, teams have gone under in 15 of the 17 games played as 4->5.5 point dogs after a home game and under in all 7 games on the road in conference after losing ATS + going under in 2 straight games. (King's situation).  For the Spurs, the under is 10-0-1 in the past 2 seasons as 4->5.5 point favorites in conference games after a win, 11-0 as conference favorites after a home game, and 7-1 as favorites after 2 home games.  When playing as 4->5.5 point favorites, teams in the NBA have gone under in 12 of 13 games this past month in conference games after 2 wins. (Spurs situation).  We look for the Spurs to control the pace of this one and keep it under the high total.  Loss:  Another near win as this goes over by just 4 points.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

New Orleans/L.A. Lakers Under 189.5:  The Hornets come into tonight's game without their 2 biggest offensive threats in Davis and Mashburn.  For the Hornets, the under is 11-2 this season after losing 2 games in a row S.U. + ATS, 3-1 in their last 4, and 3-0 in their last 3 road games.  The Lakers have gone under in all 6 games as non-conference favorites since last season after losing ATS + under at home.  For L.A., the under is 13-0-1 this season at home after an under at home and 5-0-1 since 1996 as home favorites of 14->15.5 after under at home.  This season in the NBA, after a teams has won and gone under in 4 straight games, the under is 7-0 at home and 11-1 as favorites (L.A.'s situation).  Also in the NBA this season, the under is 7-0 for teams playing in non-conference games after 8 wins.  In the last month in the NBA, teams playing as home favorites after 3 wins + going under have gone under in 11 of 12 games (Laker's situation).  Loss:  This one goes over by 5.5 as the Lakers hot shooting in the first half kills us.

Monday's NBA Top Notch Picks:  Monday Madness Now 18-11

Memphis (-6) over Atlanta:  The Grizzlies come into tonight's game after clinching a playoff spot yesterday and will be looking to get home court advantage in the first round of the playoffs.  Memphis is 8-0-1 ATS in their last 9 after a win ATS and 6-1 ATS in their last 7 road games.  Memphis also comes in having gone 7-0 ATS after winning and going under on the road this season, 6-0 ATS in their last 6 non-conference games after winning SU + ATS, and 13-1 ATS in their last 14 after winning on the road.  Atlanta has won 2 straight games, but are 2-9 ATS the past 2 seasons in that situation.  The Hawks are 0-9 ATS in non-conference games this season after a win, 0-11 ATS in their last 11 as home dogs in non-conference games after a win, and 0-12 ATS as non-conference dogs after a win the past 2 seasons.  We like Memphis in a blow-out tonight.  Loss:  Memphis blows 17 point lead when Gasol goes down.

San Antonio (-11) over Cleveland:  The Cavaliers have had a tough time of late as they have lost 5 in a row ATS, mostly in part to lack of a point guard as they have gone 1-4 ATS without McInnis.  Cleveland has gone 0-6 ATS since 1996 as road dogs of 10->11.5 against the Western conference after an over.  The Spurs are playing well as they have gone 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games and have won 6 in a row ATS at home.  The Spurs are 8-1 ATS in their last 9 after 2 unders and have gone 5-2-1 ATS in their last 8 meetings with the Cavs.  The Spurs will be seeking revenge for a loss in Cleveland back in February.  Playing as home favorites of 10->11.5, the Spurs are 6-0 in their last 6 after a win ATS and 5-0 after a win ATS at home since 1996.  We like the Spurs to get off to a big lead and hold on for the easy win.  Loss:  Spurs dominate the game (24 point 4th quarter lead), but Cavs mop up in garbage time.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Washington/Sacramento Under 213:  The Kings come into this contest having gone under in 9 of their last 12 games and have averaged 7 points less a game in their last 5 games compared to their season total.  For Sacramento, the Under is 7-0 in home games this season after a loss, 11-1 as home favorites after losing ATS this season, and 9-1 in non-conference games after a loss this season.  The Wizards have averaged just 86.6 points a game in their last 5 games of which they have gone under in 4 of those.  Washington has gone under in 7 of their last 10 games after an under.  This is the highest total posted for a contest between these two teams in their last 10 contest and the Under has won 6 straight times when they meet in Sacramento.  We'll take the low road in this one.  Win:  This one goes under by a whopping 21 points for our 6th straight Top Notch win!

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Phoenix/San Antonio Under 187:  The Spurs come into this situation in a great spot to go under the total as they have gone under in all 10 games this season as favorites in conference games after a home game and under in 6 straight as home favorites after winning SU + ATS and going under.  The Suns are playing their 4th game in 5 days and the shooting percentage should be low for a tired club tonight.  For Phoenix, the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games (since 1996) with a 12->13.5 point spread after winning ATS and 8-1-1 in their last 9 games in San Antonio after an over.  The Spurs have gone under in 8 of their last 10 against the Suns as favorites after a win ATS.  These teams have gone under in 5 of their last 6 meetings and we think tonight should be no different.  Win:  Phoenix shoots just 39% from the field and manages just 76 points.

Friday's NBA Top Notch Pick:  Game of the Week picks now 11-6 on the season!

Game of the Week  Indiana (-5.5) over Orlando:  The Pacers come into tonight's game without O'Neil and that could be why the line is at just 5.5, but they are 3-0 ATS without him this season.  Indiana has won 9 in a row ATS as favorites after an over, 8 in a row ATS in 4->5.5 point spread games after 2 wins, and 6 in a row ATS as favorites after 3 overs.  To make even more appealing, the Pacers are 11-1 ATS in conference games this season with a 4->5.5 point spread.  Orlando has all but given up on the season as they have lost their past 4 games by a combined 77 points.  The Magic are a dismal 1-8 ATS in their last 9 as dogs, 1-14 ATS at home after a home game this season (0-11 after a loss),  0-9 ATS after losing ATS plus going under at home, and 0-7 ATS as dogs in conference games after 5 losses this season.  With the Pacers looking to clinch the division as soon as possible, we expect them to roll tonight.  Win:  The Pacers lead throughout and end up winning by 15 points!

Thursday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Detroit/San Antonio Under 166.5:  Detroit comes into this matchup having gone under in 9 straight games and will meet with the Spurs, of which they have gone under the past 2 meetings.  For Detroit, the Under is 7-1 in non-conference games this season after losing ATS and 7-1 in their last 8 non-conference games overall.  Detroit has gone under in all 5 games this season when the spread is 4->6.5 and they are playing as dogs.  The Spurs are a much better defensive team with Duncan in the line-up as they held two good offenses under 90 points in their last 2 games since his return.  The Under is 5-1-1 for the Spurs this season in games with a 4->5.5 point spread after an under.  Win:  This game totals just 159 as the Spurs hold the Pistons to just 75 points.

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Memphis (-2) over New York:  Memphis enters tonight's game having won 2 in a row ATS and are 12-1-1 ATS in their last 14 games on the road.  Memphis is pushing for a possible home court advantage in the West as they are close to a 4 seed, while the Knick's continue to struggle to make the playoffs in the East.  Memphis is great bouncing back on back to back days as they are 12-4-1 ATS this season in that situation and are 7-0 ATS in 2->3.5 point games this season after an under.  The Knicks have gone just 1-8-1 ATS this season in non-conference games after an under.  Look for the Grizzlies to come out strong tonight.  Win:  Memphis breezes by the Knicks in a game that wasn't ever close.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Phoenix/Cleveland Under 200.5:  The Cav's will most likely be playing without Jeff McInnis again and will struggle offensively without him.  The last 3 meetings between these two clubs have gone under the total and we see this one being no different.  In the NBA over the last month, teams playing in the Cav's position of home favorites of 8->9.5 points after going under at home have gone under in the next game 6 of 7 times.  Teams this season playing at home in an 8->9.5 point game after losing at home have gone under in 12 of the next 15 contest.  Cleveland has gone under in 3 of their last 4 after 2 home games.  Phoenix starts a long road trip and the under is 4-1-1 in their last 6 games as road dogs after winning SU + ATS.  Win:  Cav's have worst night of offense shooting from the field this season.

Monday's NBA Top Notch Pick:  Monday Madness Now 18-9

Dallas/Philadelphia Under 194.5:  The Sixer's are in a must win position or their season may be over and we like a strong defensive effort tonight, as their top scorer Iverson will be out.  Dallas is on the second game of a road swing and should struggle shooting tonight against a very hungry Philadelphia team.  The Sixers are playing in an 8->9.5 spread game at home versus a non-conference opponent after 2 losses ATS and teams in that situation this season in the NBA have gone under in 12 of their next 14 games.  Philadelphia has gone under in 10 of their last 14 and in 15 of the 22 games they played this season without Iverson.  With Philly averaging less than 80 points a game in their last 5, we think this should go under.  Loss:  Second quarter of hot shooting kill us.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Dallas (-6) over New Jersey:  The Net's will be playing this game without their two biggest impact players with Kidd and Martin out.  They are the top two rebounder's on a team that is ranked 21st in the league to begin with, and are going against the Mavs who crash the board as the 8th best in the league.  The Net's have lost 8 straight non-conference games after 2 unders and 5 in a row after 2 unders in the past month.  Dallas is looking to solidify playoff positioning, while the Nets are almost assured of the 2nd spot in the East.  The Mavs have won 7 in a row ATS against the Nets and 5 straight ATS in New Jersey.  Look for the Mavs to control this game throughout.  Loss:  Dallas wins a close one as they play disappointing through 3 quarters.

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week Indiana/Memphis Under 182.5:  These teams come into tonight's match-up on down notes after losses.  In the NBA over the past month, teams playing a non-conference game at home after 3 losses ATS have gone under in all six of those games (Memphis' situation).  Memphis has gone under the total in 10 straight games, 8 of their last 9 games at home, and 11of their last 13 at home after an under.  The Pacers have gone under in 3 of their last 4 games and will have Artest back tonight to help the defensive pressure.  We like a defensive struggle in this one as these teams are jockeying for playoff postioning.  Loss:  Indiana's early offense puts damper on chances of a win.

Friday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Indiana (-2) over Sacramento:  The Kings come into tonight's game after 2 straight losses on the road and have lost 3 in a row ATS on the road.  The Kings are 3-16-1 ATS in their last 20 games as 2->3.5 point dogs after a loss and are just 1-9 ATS against Indiana in their last 12 meetings playing after going over and losing ATS in their previous game.  Indiana has taken 6 of the last 8 meetings and have gone 7-1 ATS in their last 8 games.  The Pacers are 20-4 ATS against the Western Conference this season (9-0 ATS in 2->3.5 point games and 10-1 ATS as home favorites).  Over the past month, teams playing as 2->3.5 point dogs after losing ATS and going over on the road (the Kings situation) are 0-6 ATS.  Expect the Pacers to show their power against a road weary Kings team that has not had great success against Indiana in recent history.  Loss:  We took this before Artest was announced out, so we must stick it out as Indiana blows a 17 point lead in this one.

Boston/Dallas Under 213.5:  For Dallas, the under has gone 0-6-1 this season after a game in which they lost ATS and went over at home (in the NBA this season, teams playing in that situation as 10->11.5 point home favorites have gone 0-7 ATS).  Boston is playing as road dogs in a non-conference game after 2 wins, and teams in the NBA over the past month playing in that situation have gone under all 7 games.  The under has gone 6-3-1 in Boston's last 10 and 3-2 in the Mavericks last 5.  The under has won in 6 straight meetings between these two usually high scoring teams and the total for this game is set at the highest mark in the last 10 meetings.  We expect this one to break 200, but just barely as the defense should be more intense as this game has many playoff implications.  Loss:  Boston only manages 14 in the first, but Dallas plays no defense afterward.

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Sacramento (-9.5) over Washington:  The Kings come into tonight's game after an embarrassing loss to the Nets last night and have won 6 in a row ATS as favorites after a loss ATS.  Sacramento is 10-2 ATS as road favorites after an under this season (6-0 after an under on the road) and are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 against Washington after going under on the road (7-3 in their last 10 meetings overall).  The Wizards have gone 1-8 ATS his season after losing + going over in 2 straight games, 2-12 ATS as dogs after going over on the road this season (have lost 6 straight after going over on the road), and are 1-11-1 ATS in their last 13 as home dogs in non-conference games after going over in 3 straight.  Look for the Kings to blow out the Wizards who have lost 3 in a row ATS at home and 5 in a row after losing on the road.  Loss: 3rd worse team in the NBA handles the second best.

8:30 pm est  Dallas (-15.5) over Atlanta:  The Mavs come into tonight's contest having won 6 in a row ATS as home favorites, 6 in a row ATS as home favorites after 2 unders, and 7 of their last 8 as home favorites after 2 wins ATS.  Dallas has also gone 16-2 ATS in their last 18 at home in non-conference games after an under on the road.  Atlanta is a woeful 1-10 ATS in their last 11 games as road dogs in non-conference games after a home game, 1-4 ATS in their last 5 overall, and 1-4 ATS in their last 5 on the road.  Dallas has taken 9 of the last 10 meetings ATS and are looking to avenge a loss to Atlanta earlier this season in Atlanta.  Coach Nelson is challenging his player with minutes and we should see a strong effort throughout against a weak Hawks team.  Loss:  Mavs get blown away in the first half and can't recover.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland/Milwaukee Under 190.5:  Milwaukee will tighten up their transition defense tonight, which should slow the pace down for the high scoring Bucks.  Over the last month in the NBA, teams have gone under in all 11 games played after going over in 2 straight home games (Milwaukee's situation tonight).  Portland comes into tonight night game having gone under in 7 straight games and the under is 1-13-1 on the road this season after winning SU + ATS.  Portland has also gone under in all 10 non-conference games on the road this season.  In the NBA this season, the under is 1-10 in PK->1.5 games after 3 wins ATS and 0-6 when teams are road dogs in non-conference games after 6 unders (Portland's in these situations).  Portland is playing as road dogs in a non-conference game after 2 wins, and teams in the NBA have gone under in all 7 games with that situation since the all-star break.  Loss:  This one goes over by 8.5 as teams race to fast start.

Monday's NBA Top Notch Pick:  Monday Madness Now 18-8

San Antonio (-2.5) over Golden State:  These Spurs will meet the Warriors again (likely without Duncan again as it was that game) after blowing them out 3 days ago.  San Antonio has gone 7-3 ATS over the last 10 meetings between the two teams.  San Antonio has won 8 in a row ATS as road favorites after an under this season, 10 in a row ATS in their last 10 as road favorites in conference games after going under on the road, and are 10-1 ATS the past 2 season in conference games after 2 unders.  Golden State is a poor 2-11 ATS in their last 13 games and 1-7 ATS in their last 8 as home dogs in conference after 4 straight losses.  Over the past month, the Warriors are 0-5 ATS at home after a loss and teams in the NBA playing as home dogs after losing ATS and going over on the road are 0-6 ATS.  Expect Parker to dish out the assist at point guard as he did the last game (Parker had 11 assist as the Warriors two top point guards are out).  Loss:  The Spurs fall behind big early and can't overcome the deficit.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Portland/Minnesota Under 177:  These two teams met 4 days ago and managed a total of just 171 making 3 of the last 4 meetings under the total.  For Portland, the under is 12-1-1 on the road this season after wining SU and ATS, 7-1 this season on the road after 2 home games, and have gone under 6 straight games overall (making the under 14-3-1 in their last 18).  For Minnesota, the under has won all 5 times in their history as 8->9.5 point favorites at home after winning ATS and going under at home.  In the NBA over the past month, teams have gone under in all 6 games as 8->9.5 point dogs after 5 unders (Portland's situation) and teams have gone under in 7 of the 8 games as 8->9.5 point home favorites in conference games after winning ATS and going under at home (Minnesota's situation).  Win: We win our 7th straight to go a perfect 6-0 on the weeekend as this squeeks under.

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

L.A. Lakers/Chicago Under 192:  The Lakers come into tonight's match-up after a tough game in Minnesota last night where Kobe Bryant continued to struggle shooting just 6 of 20 from the field.  Malone made his return, and we don't expect him to log big minutes tonight in back to back games.  L.A. has gone under in all 8 games this season playing in an 8->9.5 point spread game after a road game.  The Bulls have averaged just 81.5 points a game in their last 5 games and the under is 8-1 when the Bulls are playing at home in a non-conference game after a loss.  In the NBA this season, teams playing in Chicago's position of 8->9.5 dogs after losing and going under on the road in 2 straight games have gone under all 6 games and teams playing in non-conference games with an 8->9.5 point spread after 2 losses and going under have gone under in 10 of the 11 games.  Over the past month, teams in the Bulls position of playing at home after 3 losses SU + ATS have gone under in all 8 games.  Win:  The Lakers beat Chicago in this low scoring game that goes 23 points under the total!

Memphis/Houston Under 183:  The Grizzlies have gone over in 7 straight games and have held 5 of their last 6 opponents under 90 points.  Houston plays with a defense first mentality and have gone under in 7 of their 8 games at home this season playing division opponents after a home game.  Memphis has gone under in 15 of their 16 games this season in conference after winning and going under, 10 of 11 in conference after going under at home, and 10 of 11 in conference after 4 straight wins.  With 4 straight meetings between these two teams going under the total, including their two previous meetings this season, we like the chances for another low scoring contest.  Win:  These teams combine for just 168 points as this falls well under the total by 15 points.

Friday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Indiana (-4) over Boston:  These teams have a strong rivalry going since last years playoff series and we think the Pacers will get the best of the Celtics tonight.  Boston has gone 0-8 ATS this season as home dogs of 4->5.5 points and are 0-6 at home in 4->5.5 point games after a loss this season.  Indiana has won 5 in a row ATS and are 8-2 in their last 10 ATS.  The Pacers are also 7-0 ATS in their last 7 as favorites after a win, 7-0 on the road in 4->5.5 point games this season after 2 wins, 8-0 ATS in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread this season, and 10-1-1 ATS in conference games this season with a 4->5.5 point spread.  Over the past month in the NBA, teams playing as road favorites after going over at home are 11-1 ATS (Indiana's situation).  Look for the Pacers to show dominance tonight.  Win:  Indiana blows out the Celtics winning by 18 points!

Game of the Week   L.A. Clippers/Memphis  Under 197.5:  These two teams met less than a week ago and combined for 190 points making to go under the total and this posted total is the highest in the last 5 contests between the two.  Memphis comes into the contest with the under going 6-0 in their last 6 games in conference after an under, 8-1 in their last 9 games in conference after a win, 9-1 at home in conference games after a home game this season, 6-0 in conference games after 5 straight wins this season, and 14-1 this season in conference games after winning SU + ATS and going under in their previous game.  The Clippers have gone under in 3 of their last 4 games and 7 of their last 10, averaging just 90.4 points in their last 5 games.  Memphis has gone under in 6 straight games and have held opponents to just 86.6 points in their last 5 games.  Win:  This one falls under the total by 10 points as our "Game of the Week" Top Notch Picks are now 10-5 on the season!

Golden St./San Antonio Under 179:  These teams come into tonight's game in a good situation for this one to go under the total as Duncan is not playing tonight.  For the Warriors, the under is 5-0-1 in their last 6 conference games after losing and the under is 7-1 in their last 8 games overall.  Over the past month in the NBA, teams playing in Golden States situation of playing a conference game after 5 losses the under is 10-1 and the under is 6-0 when playing in conference games with a 12->13.5 point spread in conference games after 2 unders.  The Spurs have gone under in all 9 games this season playing as home favorites in conference games after a home game.  Win:  Golden State manages just 74 points as this one falls under the total for the 3-0 sweep on the day!

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Miami/New Orleans Under 185:  These two teams meet under the circumstances of the last 5 contests between the two going under the total and this being the highest total in those 5 games.  For New Orleans, the under has gone 10-1 when they are favorites after 2 losses ATS and 7-0 as favorites after 3 losses ATS this season.  For the Hornets, the under is also 7-0 as home favorites this season after winning ATS and going under and 5-0 in conference games at home after 2 unders.  In the NBA this season, the under is 10-1 for teams playing as home favorites in conference games after losing SU + ATS + going under in 2 straight games.  Miami has gone under in 7 of the 8 games they have played this season as road dogs after winning and going under.  Without Mashburn playing, this game should be one that goes under the total easily.  Win:  This one totals out at 179 for the Top Notch Pick win.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Golden State/Sacramento Over 202.5:  The Kings return home after a long road trip and this situation favors a high scoring affair.  For the Kings, the over is 16-0 since last season when playing as favorites in a conference game after winning ATS on the road, 9-0 this season at home after winning on the road, 9-1 as favorites in conference games after a road game, and 7-0 at home in division games after a win ATS.  Golden state comes in as 12->13.5 point dogs in a division game after losing SU + ATS and teams playing in that situation this season in the NBA have gone over in all 5 games.  This is the second lowest total posted for these two teams in their last 10 meetings.  Loss:  This score fails to reach 200 and falls hard.

Monday's NBA Top Notch Pick:  Monday Madness Now 18-7

Milwaukee (+2.5) over Philadelphia:  The Bucks come into tonight's game having lost 2 in a row and are 5-0 ATS this season after losing 2 straight.  Those losses were to playoff contending teams, as is tonight against the Sixers and the Bucks know they need this game.  Milwaukee is 7-1 ATS this season after losing SU + ATS on the road and 23-7 ATS in conference games since last season after losing SU + ATS.  Philadelphia has gone 1-9 ATS this season as home favorites after a win and are 5-20 ATS since last season after winning SU + ATS playing as home favorites.  Philadelphia is also 0-5 ATS this season as favorites in conference after winning ATS and going over.  We think this will be tightly contested down to the wire and we like the dog in this situation.  Loss:  The Bucks blow a 15 point lead and lose by 5.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

New Orleans (-2.5) over Toronto:  Both of these teams come into this contest struggling of late, but we think the Hornets are in a prime spot to break out of their slump.  New Orleans is 16-2 ATS in their last 18 games on the road in division games after losing ATS and going under at home.  In the NBA over the last month, teams in the Hornet's position of road favorites after a home game are 21-4 (7-0 after losing at home).  Toronto is just 1-5 in the last 6 games and are a miserable 2-14 ATS in their last 16 at home in conference games.  Both teams will play hard, but the Raptors are still banged up an the Hornets are much more talented.  Loss:  Toronto wins as the Raptors show they have a playoff drive.

New York (-3) over Washington:  The Knicks are fighting for a playoff berth while the Wizards are a team that has played well of late, but may come out flat after blowing a big lead to the Celtics on Friday.  The Knicks are 7-0 ATS (16-3 since last season) this season on the road in division games and 7-1 ATS as favorites in conference games after an over.  The Wizards are 0-6-1 ATS in division games after an under and 1-7-1 ATS this season as dogs after 2 wins ATS.  With the Knicks starting to gel after the trades and Houston coming into form off his injury, we like the Knicks to roll over Washington tonight.  Win:  Knicks increase lead throughout the game to roll to the 13 point victory.

Sacramento/Orlando Under 213:  These may be two of the most explosive offenses in the NBA, but we think tonight is the right spot for strong defense.  For Sacramento, the under is 10-0 in the last 10 games they have played with an 8->9.5 point spread in non-conference as favorites after a loss ATS.  For the Kings, the under is also 11-1 as favorites after losing SU + ATS this season and 7-0 in non-conference games after a loss.  Orlando is in the situation of being at home in an 8->9.5 game after 2 losses ATS, and teams in the NBA this season in that situation have gone under in 21 of the 25 games.  Within the past 30 days, the under is 12-3 for teams playing at home in non-conference games after 2 losses ATS (Orlando's situation).  Look for this to go under as it is the highest total posted for these two in the last 6 contest.  Win:  Total in this one is just 197 and caps off a 5-2 weekend!

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  Cleveland/Milwaukee Over 201.5:  This game has all the right feel of a game that will be high scoring.  The Cavs have gone over in 4 of their last 5 at home and in all 9 games this season at home after winning and going under.  Milwaukee is one of the highest scoring teams of late as they have gone over in 18 of their last 22 games and in their last 5 games the final score averaged 207.5.  The Bucks have gone over in 15 of their last 17 games as road dogs of PK->1.5.  With 7 of the last 10 meetings between the two going over, we like a high total tonight in a tightly contested contest.  Win:  First half explosion lifts this total just over the mark for the G.O.W. win!

Friday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Atlanta (+7) over Orlando:  It's hard to imagine the Magic as 7 point favorites against any team this season, especially against a team with a better record and with T-Mac having an ailing back.  The Magic are 0-8 ATS this season as home favorites after a home game and 0-10 ATS at home after losing their previous game at home.  The Hawks are a nice 10-2 ATS as dogs this season after losing SU + ATS and going over in their previous game (5-0 as road dogs).  Atlanta has also gone 12-3 ATS in their last 15 on the road after losing and going over on the road in their previous game.  Atlanta hasn't beat Orlando since 99 in Orlando, but should have a good shot tonight in a very winnable game for them.  Win:  Atlanta falls by 6 in this one as they keep it close throughout.

Atlanta/Orlando Over 199:  These two teams are at the bottom of the standings in the league and it's mostly due to lack of defense.  Atlanta ranks 19th in defense and Orlando is dead last at 29th (allowing 101 points per game, 105.4 in their last 5).  For Orlando, the over is 14-0-1 in their last 15 after losing at home, 9-0 in their last 9 at home after losing and going under, and 7-0 as home favorites this season in conference games after going under (15-1-1 dating back to last season).  For Atlanta, the over is 8-1 when playing as road dogs after an over this season (5-0 after an over on the road).  With Atlanta going over in 6 of their last 8 contests, we like this one to soar past the total tonight.  Loss:  This one barely falls under as the teams combine for 196 points.

Cleveland (+6) over New Orleans:  These two teams are heading in opposite direction as far as ATS standings are concerned.  The Cavs have been red hot ATS lately as they are 6-1 in their last 7 games, with their only letdown against the Bulls in Chicago.  The Hornets are a bad 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games, including a straight up loss in Washington and an overtime game against the Bulls at home that they won on a last second shot.  The Hornets are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 as favorites after 2 losses ATS and are 0-5 ATS as favorites after going over in 2 straight this season.  With Silas looking for his first win in New Orleans since being fired, we expect a strong effort by his team tonight.  Win: Cleveland wins this game outright to make it a winning Top Notch Pick night!

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Milwaukee/Orlando Over 211.5:  These two teams sport two of the best offenses in the league coming in ranked 4th and 9th, and two of the leagues worst defenses ranked 20th and 29th. Over the last 5 games, both teams have given up an average of 101 points and the Bucks have avereraged 107 points.  Milwaukee has gone over in 17 of their last 20 games overall and have gone over in all 5 games this season as favorites after 2 home games.  Orlando has gone over in 3 straight games.  For the Magic, the over is 7-0-1 this season as dogs in conference after losing ATS + going over, 5-0 in PK->1.5 conference games after a loss, and 10-0-2 in conference games after losing SU + ATS and going over.  With 4 of the last 5 meetings between these two going over, we like another shoot-out tonight.  Loss:  This one falls under by 9.5 as both teams have 1 bad quarter.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Seattle/Dallas Over 210.5:  These two teams sport the 2nd and 5th ranked offenses in the league and have a strong history of high scoring meetings in recent years. 13 of the last 14 meetings between these two have gone over the total, including an earlier match-up this season in January when they combined for 234 points.  Seattle has gone over in 10 straight game against Dallas after an under in their previous game and Dallas has gone over in 11 straight contests at home against Seattle.  For Seattle, the over is 9-2 this season on the road after a win and 5-0 after winning and going under on the road.  For teams playing in Dallas' situations in the NBA this season, the over is 6-0 in 10->11.5 point games in conference after winning ATS + going over at home and 9-2 as home favorites of 10->11.5 after winning SU + ATS in 2 straight games.  We like another high scoring affair tonight.  Loss:  Nash's late scratch hurts as this goes under by 7.5.

Monday's NBA Top Notch Pick:  Monday Madness Now 18-6

Detroit/Utah Over 170:  These two teams have been know for their defensive play, but both teams have been offensive minded of late.  Utah has gone over in 4 straight games and Detroit has scored over 100 in 3 straight games.  The Pistons have gone over all 5 times this season as favorites after 3 wins ATS and in the NBA the past 2 seasons, teams playing in Detroit's situation of a 2->3.5 non-conference game after winning SU + ATS + going under on the road in their previous game, the over has gone 17-4.  Utah has gone over in all 6 games this season against non-conference opponents after winning SU + ATS and has gone over in 12 straight as dogs in non-conference games after winning SU + ATS.  In the NBA this season, teams in Utah's situation of home dog in a non-conference game after winning and going over have gone over in 13 of the 16 games.  We think the total was set too low tonight as this is the lowest total line between the two in the past 10 meetings.  Win:  This one totals out at 180 as Utah win this game.  Top Notch Picks now 8-2 in the last 10.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Seattle (+8) over Houston:  The Sonics haven't been playing their best basketball lately, but are in a nice spot to keep it close in this one.  The Sonics are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 as road dogs of 8->9.5 points after losing SU and ATS in their previous game.  Houston has gone 3-1 SU in their last 4 games, but have dropped 5 in a row ATS.  Houston is a miserable 0-19 ATS as home favorites in conference games after losing ATS + going over at home in their previous game (dating back to 1995).  The Rockets are just 1-7 ATS this season as favorites in conference games after and over this season.  Seattle is in need of a win badly and should be able to beat the spread today against the Rocket as they have in both meetings already this season.  Win:  Seattle wins this game SU by a whopping 17 points!

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  Orlando/Atlanta Over 194:  These teams are in a nice spot to send this total over tonight.  For Orlando, the over is 9-0-2 in conference games this season after losing ATS + going over, 7-0-1 on the toad after losing ATS at home, and 5-0 in games with a PK->1.5 point spread after a loss.  Combine those facts with these stats for all NBA teams this season:  the over is 5-0 when teams are road favorites (PK->1.5) after 2 losses and 10-1 on the road in (PK->1.5) in conference after 2 losses.  Orlando has gone over in 4 of their last 5 on the road and Atlanta is yielding and average of 105.2 points a game over their last 5 games, making the over 4-1 in those games.  In the past 2 seasons, teams have gone over in 66% of the games playing as PK->1.5 point dogs in conference games after a road game (Atlanta's situation).  With these teams combining for 208 points in December, we see a similar outcome tonight.  Win:  Orlando wins this contest as the total top 200 points, to cap the week of Top Notch Picks off at 6-2!

Friday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Cleveland (+2.5) over Orlando:  The Cavs come into tonight's match-up having won 4 games in a row ATS and looking at moving in on a playoff position.  Orlando has been a major disappointment this year and are 1-10 ATS at home after playing their previous game at home.  The Magic's inability to be effective at home has transpired into a dismal 1-9 ATS record playing in conference after losing SU + ATS at home and 2-18 ATS in their last 20 at home after  losing at home.  The major factor should be rebounding in tonight's game as the Cav's should mop up the boards as they are ranked 2nd in the league, while the Magic rank 2nd to last at 28th.  Look for a strong effort by the Cavs tonight.  Win:  Cavs win SU and out-rebound the Magic by 11 to make us 5-2 on our Top Notch Picks this week.

Thursday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

 Thursday Night TNT Dynamite Pick   San Antonio (-2.5) over Dallas:  The Spurs will be looking to avenge two losses SU to Dallas earlier this season (but won both ATS making them 6-1 the last 7 meetings), and are in a good spot to do it tonight.  The Spurs are 8-0 ATS in conference games this season after winning SU + ATS in 2 straight games, 13-1 ATS in their last 14 conference games after winning ATS, and 16-4 ATS since last season as road dogs in conference games.  To make things better, the Spurs are 14-2 ATS as road dogs in division games after a home games since 1999 (5-1 ATS at Dallas).  Dallas has gone 0-5-1 ATS this season as 2->3.5 favorites after a home game and are 0-11-1 ATS in their last 12 at home in 2->3.5 point games after winning ATS at home.  Expect the defending champs to pull off a close one tonight.  Loss: Duncan goes down an so do our chances at a win.

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Milwaukee/Boston Over 202:  The Bucks have been going over the total alot lately as they have gone over in 14 of their last 17 games.  The over has gone 7-1 for Milwaukee this season when they play as favorites after a loss and an over in their previous game.  For Boston, the over is 7-1 this season when they are playing as dogs in conference games after a loss.  In the NBA this season, the over is 9-1 when teams play on the road in conference games with a pk->1.5 spread after losing at home (Milwuakee's situation).  Also in the NBA this season, the over is 11-1 for teams playing at home after going under in 3 straight games on the road (Boston's situation).  With the last 4 meetings going over the total and Boston giving up over 100 points in 5 straight games, we like this one to be high scoring.  Win:  Teams combine for 210 points to push this over the total.

Washington/Toronto Over 175:  This game is not the cream of the crop on the schedule tonight, but we think there is a strong play on the over.  For Washington, the over is 7-1-1 on the road in conference games this season after 2 losses and 5-0-1 in conference games after 2 unders.  For the Wizards, the over is 15-2-2 the past 2 season on the road in conference games after going under in their previous game.  Washington has gone over in 8 of their last 11 and in the NBA the past 2 season, teams playing in their spot on the road in PK->1.5 games in conference after 2 losses have gone over in all 10 games.  For Toronto, in the NBA this season, the over is 6-0 as home dogs after 2 unders in PK->1.5 point games.  With the Raptors yielding and average of 109.8 points in their last 5 games, we like this one to go over.  Loss:  Team's don't shoot very well and this goes under.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Indiana (-8) over Golden State:  The Warriors are in a tough spot here playing banged up and starting a road trip where they will play 4 games in 5 days.  In the NBA this season, teams are just 1-8 in non-conference road games with an 8->9.5 point spread after losing ATS at home (the Warrior's situation).  Indiana has gone 8-0 in non-conference games this season after going over in the previous game and are 11-1 ATS in their last 12 games as home favorites against non-conference opponents.  In the NBA this season, teams are 12-1 ATS as home favorites of 8->9.5 points after going over in their previous game at home (Indiana's situation).  We look for a strong effort by the Pacers tonight and the Warriors to collapse in a blowout.  Win:  Indiana wins by 11 to make us 3-0 so far this week!

Monday's NBA Top Notch Pick:  Monday Madness Now 17-6

Cleveland/New Orleans Over 187:  The Cav's come into tonight's game in a great situation to go over as they have gone over in all 9 games this season when the point spread is 2->3.5 and are coming off a win ATS.  Cleveland is playing as home dogs tonight, and in that situation this season, the Cavs have gone over in 12 of the 15 games.  The Cavs have also gone over in all 6 games at home this season after winning ATS and going under in their previous game.  The Hornets come into tonight's contest as favorites, despite losing SU and ATS on the road, and in that situation the Hornets have gone over in 4 of 5 this season.  With Davis playing as hot as he is for the Hornet and the Cavs playing on the road yesterday, expect the Hornets to run a high tempo game.  Win:  Cavs come back for the big win as this goes over 200.

Sunday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Cleveland (+6.5) over New York:  The Knick's have been making trades all season to bolster their line up, but team chemistry issues may begin the Knicks on a losing streak.  Marbury gets heckled at the game and the two new guys still have to learn the team defensive schemes.  The Cavs come of a a long home stand and are poised to make a run for the playoffs with the Knicks being one of the teams with a better record.  The Cavs have won 3 straight meetings ATS and when teams are playing as road dogs of 6->7.5 points in conference games after a home game teams are 29-15 ATS.  We like the Cavs to get out to a fast start and stay in the game.  Win:  Much need Top Notch victory as the the Cavs win SU by 6 points.

Saturday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Game of the Week  Seattle/Golden State Over 198:  Tonight's contest between the Sonics and Warriors should be a high scoring affair as the last 5 meetings between these two teams in Golden State have gone over and 3 of their last 4 overall have gone over (including 11 days ago in Seattle when the teams combined for 211 points.  Seattle has gone over in 8 of their last 9 games as road dogs in division games after losing SU and ATS.  In the NBA this season, teams playing as road dogs in conference games after 3 home games, the over is 28-13-1 for teams in that (Seattle's) situation.  For Golden State, the over is 13-1-1 in their last 14 games at home after a home game, 11-3-1 in their last 15 conference games at home, and 3-0-1 in their last 4 overall.  We look for this total to go well above the 200 mark.  Loss: This one goes under by 12 as we sludge through a dry spell.

Friday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

 Indiana/Washington Over 184:  Indiana comes into tonight's contest missing their top defensive player in Ron Artest.  Washington has had trouble on the defensive end the past few games and have gone over in 8 of their last 9 overall and in 6 of their last 7 games at home.  Indiana has gone over in 8 of their last 10 games in conference after losing and going under in their previous game.  The last time Indiana visited Washington, it was after a home loss and that game went over the total by plenty.  For Washington, the over is 15-2-1 in their last 18 games as 6->7.5 point dogs after 2 losses ATS and 8-2-1 in their last 11 conference games after losing + losing ATS in 2 straight games.  Loss:  Another game that we are vicitimized by a 1 point loss.

10:30 pm est  Portland/Golden St. Over 187:  Portland comes into tonight's contest with a revamped lineup that should be able to put up point on a Warriors team that likes to run at home.  Four of the last 6 contests between the two teams have gone over and this is the second lowest total posted for a game between the two in the last 8 meetings.  The Warriors have gone over in 12 of their last 13 as 4->5.5 point favorites after an over, 7 of their last 8 as home favorites after a loss and an over, and in 13 of their last 14 at home after playing their previous game at home.  With the Warriors going over in 3 straight games, we like the offense to continue tonight as this one should go over as well.  Push:  This line started at 189 and went down to 186.5 (which would win) and 187 on the others.

Thursday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Sacramento/Minnesota Over 207:  These two teams are in the perfect situation to light up the scoreboard tonight.  Both teams are hot as the Timberwolves have won 3 in a row SU and ATS.  Over the past 9 years when Minnesota has won 3 in a row SU and ATS and are playing as favorites in a conference game, the over is 13-1.  For Sacramento, the over has gone 12-1-1 in their last 14 conference games after 2 wins ATS and the over has gone 13-1-1 in conference games with a 4->5.5 point spread after 2 wins SU and ATS.  Seven of the last ten meetings between these two have gone over with the over going 4-1 in the past 5 in Minnesota (including last season when the teams combined for 224 points as the Kings we riding a 4 game winning streak ATS as they are now).  Sacramento has gone over in five of their last seven games and have gone over in both games without Brad Miller this season.  Loss:  Our worst loss of the season as the Kings shoot a measly 33%.

Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

New Jersey (-12.5) over Atlanta:  The Nets are the hottest team in the NBA right now as they have won ten games in a row S.U. and ATS as they have won all of them by double digits.  The Nets are looking to add to the trend where they have gone 15-4-1 ATS as favorites after a win this season.  In the NBA this season, teams are 25-12-1 ATS as favorites after winning 6 games in a row.  The Nets face an Atlanta team that is going through many changes and new faces.  Atlanta is just 7-26 ATS since last season as dogs after a win.  With the Nets taking 5 of the last 7 meetings ATS against the Hawks and going 3-0-1 ATS against the Hawks at home in their last 4 meetings here, we like the Nets to continue to roll tonight.  Loss:  Nets only win by six in this contest.

L.A. Lakers/Golden State Over 197.5:  These two teams come into tonight's match-up having gone over the total in 7 of the last 10 meetings between the two and over in 4 of the last 6 meetings when Golden State is at home.  Dating back to last season, the Warrior have gone over in 12 of their last 13 games at home in a conference match-up after playing a game at home.  The Warriors have also gone over in 5 of the 6 games they have played as home dogs after 2 wins since last season.  The Lakers are in a spot where the over is a nice 15-1 in their last 16 playing as road favorites after a win.  The Over for the Lakers is 15-3 in their last 18 as 4->5.5 point favorites in conference games after going under in their previous game at home.  Win:  This one is close, but manages to go over as the Lakers win a close one.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Pick:

Toronto/Chicago Over 178:  In the last 10 meetings between these two teams, the over has taken the win 8 times.  Tonight we think the same will occur as many trends favor this situation.  In the NBA this season, teams playing as dogs after going over at home in 2 straight games have gone over in 25 of 36 in their next game (Bull's situation).  In the NBA the past 2 seasons, the over is 21-4 when a team is playing as home dogs (PK->1.5) after a win (also Chicago's situation).  For Toronto, the over is 6-2-1 in their last 9 games on the road in conference after losing SU + ATS and going under in their previous game.  Chicago has gone over in 7 of their last 10 and the over is 16-2-1 in Chicago's last 19 as dogs after going over in 2 straight home games.  Expect a higher score tonight than this low total.  Loss: Poor shooting on both ends in this one.

Last Wednesday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

Washington/Philadelphia Over 189:  The Wizards are playing their best basketball of the season as they come into tonight's matchup having gone over in 5 of their last 6 games.  The Over for the Sixers has gone 6-2-1 in their last nine games.  In the last 7 meetings between these two, the over has won six times and with both teams going over lately, we think another is due tonight.  Since last season, when Washington plays on the road in a conference game after an under, the over is 14-2-2 (2 of those over's vs. Philly).  Since last season, when Philadelphia plays a conference game as a favorite after a loss ATS, the over is 25-9.  We expect a high scoring affair tonight. Win: Teams combine for 201 points as this goes over the total.

8:00 pm est  New York (+5.5) over New Orleans:  The Knicks come into tonight's contest playing good basketball as they are 3-1 ATS in their last 4 games and are a team improving.  On the other side of the ball, the Hornet's have struggled lately after their good start to the season and have gone 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games overall.  The Knicks have gone 7-3 ATS in their last 10 meetings with the Hornets, winning the last 3.  The Knicks are 7-1 ATS this season in conference games with a spread of 4->5.5, making them a whopping 17-2 ATS in the past 2 seasons in that situation.  We expect the Knicks to keep this one very close tonight as they try to close the gap in the playoff position race between them and the Hornets. Loss:  Hornets stay on top of the Knicks most of the game in this one and win by 8.

Tuesday's NBA Top Notch Picks:

New Jersey (-4) over Detroit:  The Nets come into tonight's contest the hottest team in the NBA as they are have won 8 games in a row, straight up and ATS.  Over the past 2 seasons playing after 3 or more wins in a row, the Nets are now an amazing 10-0 ATS as home favorites against the Eastern Conference (up to 13.5 point favortes).  The Nets are 8-1 in their last 9 as home favorites and have won 5 in a row as home favorites after winning 5 in a row (2 of those against Detroit as 6 and 7.5 point favortites).  The Pistons have been a streaky team this season, as when they are hot they are scorching and when they are cold they are horrid.  The Pistons have lost 3 games in a row SU and are a miserable 1-6-1 ATS in their last 8 games overall.  With Detroit playing a red hot Nets team, whom they are 1-4 against in their last 5 meetings, we expect the Net to roll tonight.  Win:  Nets take control in the second half and pull away for an 11 point win.

Utah (+7) over Portland:  The Jazz hook up with a short-handed Portland team tonight that has dealt away Wallace and Person.  There won't be an easy replacement of offense on that team with the players from Atlanta not arriving yet.  The Jazz have won 3 in a row ATS on the road and have won 6 in row ATS after a win.  Utah is 8-1-1 ATS this season in 6->7.5 point games after a win ATS and teams in the NBA this season playing as road dogs of 6->7.5 points in conference games are 41-24-2.  Portland has played well of late, but are in a short handed situation playing a Utah team that will be looking for revenge after a loss at home to Portland last week.  Utah is 7-2 ATS in the last 9 meetings between the two.  In the NBA this season, teams playing in Portland's position of home favorites of 6->7.5 points after 2 wins ATS are just 1-13 ATS.  We like Utah to keep it close tonight.  Win:  Utah wins this contest outright by 5 points for an underdog winning S.U.!